SEASeahawks
5-0
34
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
037
ARICardinals
4-2
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Seahawks
10
17
0
7
0
34
Cardinals
7
10
7
10
3
37
Spread
+3.5
Total
OVER
55.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
572
519
Total Plays
82
81
Yards / Play
7.0
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.09
+0.09
Passing Yards
372
--
Comp/Att
33/50(66%)
34/48(71%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
--
EPA / Pass
+0.00
+0.15
Rushing Yards
200
159
Rush Attempts
30
33
Yards / Rush
6.7
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.31
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
33
31
Passing 1st downs
21
17
Rushing 1st downs
11
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
38%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
67%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-19.04
-9.44
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-16
--
Sack EPA
-3.35
--
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
78
40
Penalty EPA
-10.07
-4.74
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-91
Home nfelo
1,500
Away nfelo
1,598
Home Field
-0.4
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
-2.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-4.8
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
-1.1
Net QB Adjustment
+6.9
Home QB Adjustment
+30.9
Away QB Adjustment
+24.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-91.7
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+1.1
Team Elo Adj
+24.0
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+1.5
Team Elo Adj
+30.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
12
Yards / Game
18
13
Passing Yards / Game
7
11
Rushing Yards / Game
12
21
EPA
EPA / Play
6
9
EPA / Pass
12
10
EPA / Rush
7
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
22
Interceptions / Game
22
20
Fumbles / Game
2
18
Turnover EPA / Game
14
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
10
4th Down Efficiency
18
26
RZ Efficiency
3
4
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
16
Yards / Game
6
22
Passing Yards / Game
10
31
Rushing Yards / Game
6
5
EPA
EPA / Play
15
14
EPA / Pass
22
22
EPA / Rush
3
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
4
Interceptions / Game
17
14
Fumbles / Game
23
17
Turnover EPA / Game
8
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
26
4th Down Efficiency
5
4
RZ Efficiency
9
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Cardinals
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
2-8
O/U