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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ cardinals week 7, 2020

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
5-0
34
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0
37
ARICardinals
4-2
ARI logo
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Seahawks
10
17
0
7
0
34
Cardinals
7
10
7
10
3
37

Spread

ARI logo
+3.5

Total

OVER
55.5

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
572
519
Total Plays
82
81
Yards / Play
7.0
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.09
+0.09
Passing Yards
372
--
Comp/Att
33/50(66%)
34/48(71%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
--
EPA / Pass
+0.00
+0.15
Rushing Yards
200
159
Rush Attempts
30
33
Yards / Rush
6.7
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.31
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
33
31
Passing 1st downs
21
17
Rushing 1st downs
11
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
38%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
67%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-19.04
-9.44
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-16
--
Sack EPA
-3.35
--
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
78
40
Penalty EPA
-10.07
-4.74

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5

Win Probability

Market62.9%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-89
Home nfelo
1,501
Away nfelo
1,597
Home Field
-0.4
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
-2.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-4.8
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
-1.1
Net QB Adjustment
+6.9
Home QB Adjustment
+30.9
Away QB Adjustment
+24.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-91.7
Model Spread
+3.5

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+24.0
Value
Ptile
12/15
3.8
78
12/22
-9.9
4
12/29
3.4
74
01/05
4.7
83
01/12
3.6
75
09/13
11.0
97
09/20
10.8
97
09/27
6.8
88
10/04
2.1
59
10/11
2.2
61
K. Murray headshot

K. Murray

Proj. Value
+0.9
Team Elo Adj
+30.9
Value
Ptile
12/08
-7.4
10
12/15
4.5
81
12/22
-1.4
44
12/29
1.4
64
09/13
5.7
81
09/20
7.1
88
09/27
0.2
48
10/04
8.1
93
10/11
7.2
89
10/19
3.6
70

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
7
12
Yards / Game
18
13
Passing Yards / Game
7
11
Rushing Yards / Game
12
21

EPA

EPA / Play
6
9
EPA / Pass
12
10
EPA / Rush
7
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
22
Interceptions / Game
22
20
Fumbles / Game
2
18
Turnover EPA / Game
14
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
10
4th Down Efficiency
18
26
RZ Efficiency
3
4
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
14
16
Yards / Game
6
22
Passing Yards / Game
10
31
Rushing Yards / Game
6
5

EPA

EPA / Play
15
14
EPA / Pass
22
22
EPA / Rush
3
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
4
Interceptions / Game
17
14
Fumbles / Game
23
17
Turnover EPA / Game
8
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
26
4th Down Efficiency
5
4
RZ Efficiency
9
18

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/15
6
W
P
O
12/22
-14
L
L
U
12/29
-5
L
L
P
01/05
8
W
W
U
01/12
-5
L
L
O
09/13
13
W
W
O
09/20
5
W
W
O
09/27
7
W
W
O
10/04
8
W
W
U
10/11
1
W
L
U
ARI logo

Cardinals

6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
2-8
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/08
-6
L
L
U
12/15
14
W
W
O
12/22
14
W
W
U
12/29
-7
L
P
O
09/13
4
W
W
U
09/20
15
W
W
U
09/27
-3
L
L
U
10/04
-10
L
L
U
10/11
20
W
W
U
10/19
28
W
W
U