SEASeahawks
7-8
20
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
023
ARICardinals
7-8
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Seahawks
0
3
7
10
0
20
Cardinals
7
3
7
3
3
23
Spread
-2.5
Total
OVER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
369
388
Total Plays
73
73
Yards / Play
5.1
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.13
Passing Yards
191
257
Comp/Att
21/35(60%)
22/40(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
6.4
EPA / Pass
-0.28
-0.32
Rushing Yards
178
131
Rush Attempts
34
31
Yards / Rush
5.2
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.13
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
20
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
19%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
17
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.95
-12.64
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-31
-14
Sack EPA
-4.18
-2.15
Penalties
7
9
Penalty Yards
55
76
Penalty EPA
-6.73
-3.97
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-2.5
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model50.4%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+2.5
Expected Value
+2.7%
Cover Probability
53.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-30
Home nfelo
1,451
Away nfelo
1,490
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-46.6
Home QB Adjustment
-37.9
Away QB Adjustment
+8.7
Market Regression
-10.5
Final Difference
2.5
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
T. Jackson
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
+8.7
J. Skelton
Proj. Value
-4.6
Team Elo Adj
-37.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
16
Yards / Game
28
18
Passing Yards / Game
23
23
Rushing Yards / Game
20
21
EPA
EPA / Play
25
7
EPA / Pass
20
8
EPA / Rush
27
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
2
Interceptions / Game
13
26
Fumbles / Game
17
12
Turnover EPA / Game
22
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
1
4th Down Efficiency
10
23
RZ Efficiency
21
2
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
7
Yards / Game
19
9
Passing Yards / Game
9
12
Rushing Yards / Game
24
15
EPA
EPA / Play
28
5
EPA / Pass
26
3
EPA / Rush
9
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
4
Interceptions / Game
27
3
Fumbles / Game
12
18
Turnover EPA / Game
4
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
10
4th Down Efficiency
4
30
RZ Efficiency
14
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Cardinals
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
4-5-1
O/U