SEASeahawks
8-8
21
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
020
ARICardinals
4-12
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
10
0
8
21
Cardinals
0
6
7
7
20
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
329
466
Total Plays
54
69
Yards / Play
6.1
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.13
+0.10
Passing Yards
--
260
Comp/Att
16/29(55%)
22/30(73%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.7
EPA / Pass
+0.23
+0.49
Rushing Yards
138
206
Rush Attempts
25
38
Yards / Rush
5.5
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.03
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
24
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
9
13
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
50%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
33%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-2
Sack EPA
--
-0.21
Penalties
--
5
Penalty Yards
--
27
Penalty EPA
--
-3.61
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-88
Home nfelo
1,349
Away nfelo
1,523
Home Field
+41.4
Base HFA
+46.1
Divisional Adj
-20.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+45.2
Home QB Adjustment
+53.9
Away QB Adjustment
+8.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+8.6
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+53.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
31
Yards / Game
22
25
Passing Yards / Game
7
3
Rushing Yards / Game
27
32
EPA
EPA / Play
9
31
EPA / Pass
12
31
EPA / Rush
12
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
16
Interceptions / Game
15
19
Fumbles / Game
1
31
Turnover EPA / Game
31
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
32
4th Down Efficiency
30
8
RZ Efficiency
26
23
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
24
Yards / Game
19
30
Passing Yards / Game
24
22
Rushing Yards / Game
3
31
EPA
EPA / Play
18
29
EPA / Pass
27
27
EPA / Rush
2
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
23
Interceptions / Game
15
19
Fumbles / Game
10
13
Turnover EPA / Game
20
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
31
4th Down Efficiency
28
15
RZ Efficiency
5
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
4-6
SU
4-4-2
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cardinals
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U