SEASeahawks
1-0
21
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
94°F
8 mph
30
LACChargers
0-1
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
94°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
7
7
0
21
Chargers
3
17
7
3
30
Spread
+5
Total
OVER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
288
377
Total Plays
40
75
Yards / Play
7.2
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.05
+0.15
Passing Yards
180
276
Comp/Att
17/25(68%)
28/37(76%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
7.5
EPA / Pass
+0.12
+0.46
Rushing Yards
108
101
Rush Attempts
13
37
Yards / Rush
8.3
2.7
EPA / Rush
+0.39
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
26
Passing 1st downs
9
17
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
38%
59%
3rd Down Conversions
3
10
3rd Down Attempts
8
17
Red Zone %
100%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.58
--
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-22
-8
Sack EPA
-4.65
-2.36
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
53
53
Penalty EPA
-11.27
-6.43
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-5.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market67.5%
Model60.6%
Spread Pick
Chargers+5.0
Expected Value
+15.2%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-28
Home nfelo
1,558
Away nfelo
1,673
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+2.8
Home QB Adjustment
+5.6
Away QB Adjustment
+2.8
Market Regression
+3.2
Final Difference
-74.8
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+2.8
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+5.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
12
Yards / Game
8
10
Passing Yards / Game
13
1
Rushing Yards / Game
1
25
EPA
EPA / Play
8
23
EPA / Pass
10
21
EPA / Rush
1
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
16
Interceptions / Game
5
28
Fumbles / Game
9
6
Turnover EPA / Game
31
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
24
4th Down Efficiency
29
3
RZ Efficiency
19
14
Chargers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
1
Yards / Game
19
1
Passing Yards / Game
8
6
Rushing Yards / Game
30
4
EPA
EPA / Play
12
4
EPA / Pass
7
4
EPA / Rush
27
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
12
Interceptions / Game
26
13
Fumbles / Game
2
15
Turnover EPA / Game
23
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
16
4th Down Efficiency
19
28
RZ Efficiency
15
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Chargers
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
3-7
O/U