SEASeahawks
2-5
13
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
023
DALCowboys
3-4
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
3
0
7
13
Cowboys
3
3
7
10
23
Spread
+10.5
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
381
442
Total Plays
61
60
Yards / Play
6.2
7.4
EPA / Play
-0.04
+0.12
Passing Yards
219
--
Comp/Att
17/30(57%)
19/31(61%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
--
EPA / Pass
-0.14
+0.23
Rushing Yards
162
163
Rush Attempts
30
29
Yards / Rush
5.4
5.6
EPA / Rush
+0.14
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
18
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
20%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-11.32
-3.31
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-2
--
Sack EPA
-1.46
--
Penalties
10
7
Penalty Yards
88
82
Penalty EPA
-10.30
-6.76
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-12.5
Current
-10.5
Model
-10.5
Win Probability
Market80.6%
Model80.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+217
Home nfelo
1,563
Away nfelo
1,418
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-13.5
Home QB Adjustment
-1.3
Away QB Adjustment
+12.2
Market Regression
-22.1
Final Difference
247.4
Model Spread
-10.5
Quarterbacks
T. Jackson
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
+12.2
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
-1.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
15
Yards / Game
28
14
Passing Yards / Game
23
17
Rushing Yards / Game
20
6
EPA
EPA / Play
25
17
EPA / Pass
20
18
EPA / Rush
27
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
14
Interceptions / Game
13
18
Fumbles / Game
17
12
Turnover EPA / Game
22
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
22
4th Down Efficiency
10
8
RZ Efficiency
21
22
Cowboys Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
7
Yards / Game
10
9
Passing Yards / Game
7
12
Rushing Yards / Game
17
15
EPA
EPA / Play
11
5
EPA / Pass
6
3
EPA / Rush
22
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
4
Interceptions / Game
7
3
Fumbles / Game
17
18
Turnover EPA / Game
24
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
10
4th Down Efficiency
9
30
RZ Efficiency
19
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Cowboys
5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
5-5
O/U