SEASeahawks
6-5
35
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
041
DALCowboys
8-3
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
14
7
7
35
Cowboys
10
10
7
14
41
Spread
+9.5
Total
OVER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
406
413
Total Plays
64
80
Yards / Play
6.3
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.19
+0.25
Passing Yards
334
277
Comp/Att
23/41(56%)
29/42(69%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
6.6
EPA / Pass
+0.27
+0.35
Rushing Yards
72
136
Rush Attempts
22
34
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
33
Passing 1st downs
16
19
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
5
6
3rd Down %
64%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
9
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
80%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
4
Red Zone Attempts
5
8
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.61
--
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
--
-24
Sack EPA
-0.52
-6.40
Penalties
10
9
Penalty Yards
130
127
Penalty EPA
-9.34
-12.16
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-9.5
Model
-10.5
Win Probability
Market78.5%
Model80.5%
Spread Pick
Cowboys-9.5
Expected Value
+11.4%
Cover Probability
58.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+282
Home nfelo
1,709
Away nfelo
1,500
Home Field
+28.9
Base HFA
+45.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-16.1
Net QB Adjustment
+44.0
Home QB Adjustment
+29.6
Away QB Adjustment
-14.4
Market Regression
+14.5
Final Difference
246.7
Model Spread
-10.5
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
-0.5
Team Elo Adj
-14.4
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+1.8
Team Elo Adj
+29.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
9
Yards / Game
22
7
Passing Yards / Game
7
12
Rushing Yards / Game
27
18
EPA
EPA / Play
9
9
EPA / Pass
12
7
EPA / Rush
12
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
17
Interceptions / Game
15
11
Fumbles / Game
1
18
Turnover EPA / Game
31
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
17
4th Down Efficiency
30
20
RZ Efficiency
26
22
Cowboys Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
24
Yards / Game
4
30
Passing Yards / Game
15
22
Rushing Yards / Game
15
31
EPA
EPA / Play
2
29
EPA / Pass
3
27
EPA / Rush
7
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
23
Interceptions / Game
13
19
Fumbles / Game
4
13
Turnover EPA / Game
17
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
31
4th Down Efficiency
15
15
RZ Efficiency
12
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cowboys
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
7-2-1
O/U