SEASeahawks
8-4
24
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
45°F
15 mph
14
PHIEagles
9-3
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
45°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
10
14
0
24
Eagles
7
0
7
0
14
Spread
-2
Total
UNDER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
440
139
Total Plays
85
45
Yards / Play
5.2
3.1
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.34
Passing Yards
252
82
Comp/Att
22/37(59%)
10/20(50%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
4.1
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.55
Rushing Yards
188
57
Rush Attempts
46
22
Yards / Rush
4.1
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.42
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
9
Passing 1st downs
15
5
Rushing 1st downs
10
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
44%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-8.22
-8.43
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-11
-14
Sack EPA
-2.37
-3.58
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
67
69
Penalty EPA
-8.71
-8.93
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-2.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market54.7%
Model54.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-29
Home nfelo
1,660
Away nfelo
1,647
Home Field
+61.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-104.1
Home QB Adjustment
-94.1
Away QB Adjustment
+10.0
Market Regression
-26.7
Final Difference
-32.8
Model Spread
+2.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+10.0
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-94.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
22
Yards / Game
8
28
Passing Yards / Game
13
7
Rushing Yards / Game
1
15
EPA
EPA / Play
8
7
EPA / Pass
10
17
EPA / Rush
1
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
19
Interceptions / Game
5
22
Fumbles / Game
9
1
Turnover EPA / Game
31
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
12
4th Down Efficiency
29
4
RZ Efficiency
19
20
Eagles Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
1
Yards / Game
4
1
Passing Yards / Game
19
6
Rushing Yards / Game
8
4
EPA
EPA / Play
14
4
EPA / Pass
15
4
EPA / Rush
21
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
12
Interceptions / Game
32
13
Fumbles / Game
31
15
Turnover EPA / Game
1
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
16
4th Down Efficiency
2
28
RZ Efficiency
24
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U