SEASeahawks
6-5
26
TBD
MetLife Stadium
37°F
12 mph
21
NYJJets
3-8
TBD
MetLife Stadium
37°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
10
0
10
20
Jets
14
7
0
0
21
Spread
+1
Total
OVER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
259
260
Total Plays
57
63
Yards / Play
4.5
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.05
-0.17
Passing Yards
175
169
Comp/Att
20/31(65%)
21/39(54%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
4.3
EPA / Pass
-0.05
-0.36
Rushing Yards
84
91
Rush Attempts
23
22
Yards / Rush
3.7
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
17
Passing 1st downs
7
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
31%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-9.80
-14.88
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-31
-16
Sack EPA
-8.37
-2.76
Penalties
5
12
Penalty Yards
50
83
Penalty EPA
-6.62
-13.36
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
+2.5
Current
-1.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model55.7%
Spread Pick
Jets-1.0
Expected Value
+5.0%
Cover Probability
54.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+79
Home nfelo
1,501
Away nfelo
1,501
Home Field
+73.6
Base HFA
+40.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+11.6
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+21.7
Net QB Adjustment
+5.8
Home QB Adjustment
-0.4
Away QB Adjustment
-6.1
Market Regression
+20.0
Final Difference
39.7
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
-0.5
Team Elo Adj
-6.1
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+1.3
Team Elo Adj
-0.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
19
Yards / Game
15
5
Passing Yards / Game
4
4
Rushing Yards / Game
28
17
EPA
EPA / Play
20
24
EPA / Pass
21
19
EPA / Rush
18
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
17
Interceptions / Game
26
27
Fumbles / Game
6
7
Turnover EPA / Game
10
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
14
4th Down Efficiency
21
30
RZ Efficiency
14
19
Jets Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
13
Yards / Game
24
13
Passing Yards / Game
5
9
Rushing Yards / Game
31
16
EPA
EPA / Play
19
10
EPA / Pass
18
8
EPA / Rush
21
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
5
Interceptions / Game
11
13
Fumbles / Game
10
19
Turnover EPA / Game
17
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
10
4th Down Efficiency
28
6
RZ Efficiency
21
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Jets
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U