nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ jets week 13, 2024

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

SEA logo
SEASeahawks
6-5
26
TBD
MetLife Stadium
37°F
12 mph
21
NYJJets
3-8
NYJ logo
TBD
MetLife Stadium
37°F
12 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
10
0
10
20
Jets
14
7
0
0
21

Spread

SEA logo
+1

Total

OVER
41.5

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Jets logo
Total Yards
259
260
Total Plays
57
63
Yards / Play
4.5
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.05
-0.17
Passing Yards
175
169
Comp/Att
20/31(65%)
21/39(54%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
4.3
EPA / Pass
-0.05
-0.36
Rushing Yards
84
91
Rush Attempts
23
22
Yards / Rush
3.7
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Jets logo
1st Downs
16
17
Passing 1st downs
7
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
31%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Jets logo
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-9.80
-14.88
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-31
-16
Sack EPA
-8.37
-2.76
Penalties
5
12
Penalty Yards
50
83
Penalty EPA
-6.62
-13.36

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
NYJ logo
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
+2.5
Current
-1.0
Model
-2.0

Win Probability

Market52.2%
Model53.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+74
Home nfelo
1,498
Away nfelo
1,504
Home Field
+73.6
Base HFA
+40.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+11.6
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+21.7
Net QB Adjustment
+5.8
Home QB Adjustment
-0.4
Away QB Adjustment
-6.1
Market Regression
+8.5
Final Difference
27.3
Model Spread
-2.0

Quarterbacks

E. Smith headshot

E. Smith

Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-6.1
Value
Ptile
09/15
4.4
77
09/22
-1.9
36
09/30
4.3
76
10/06
2.3
65
10/10
-1.4
38
10/20
1.1
57
10/27
-0.1
48
11/03
-5.0
16
11/17
1.1
56
11/24
-4.5
19
A. Rodgers headshot

A. Rodgers

Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-0.4
Value
Ptile
09/15
-0.7
44
09/19
6.3
86
09/29
-4.8
17
10/06
-7.3
7
10/14
1.6
60
10/20
-1.6
37
10/27
2.3
65
10/31
3.1
71
11/10
-5.9
12
11/17
-0.1
48

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Jets Defense
Seahawks logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
17
19
Yards / Game
15
5
Passing Yards / Game
4
4
Rushing Yards / Game
28
17

EPA

EPA / Play
20
24
EPA / Pass
21
19
EPA / Rush
18
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
17
Interceptions / Game
26
27
Fumbles / Game
6
7
Turnover EPA / Game
10
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
14
4th Down Efficiency
21
30
RZ Efficiency
14
19
Jets Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Jets logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
24
13
Yards / Game
24
13
Passing Yards / Game
5
9
Rushing Yards / Game
31
16

EPA

EPA / Play
19
10
EPA / Pass
18
8
EPA / Rush
21
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
5
Interceptions / Game
11
13
Fumbles / Game
10
19
Turnover EPA / Game
17
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
10
4th Down Efficiency
28
6
RZ Efficiency
21
8

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/15
3
W
L
O
09/22
21
W
W
U
09/30
-13
L
L
O
10/06
-9
L
L
O
10/10
-12
L
L
O
10/20
20
W
W
U
10/27
-21
L
L
U
11/03
-6
L
L
U
11/17
3
W
W
U
11/24
10
W
W
U
NYJ logo

Jets

3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/15
7
W
W
U
09/19
21
W
W
U
09/29
-1
L
L
U
10/06
-6
L
L
U
10/14
-3
L
L
O
10/20
-22
L
L
O
10/27
-3
L
L
O
10/31
8
W
W
U
11/10
-25
L
L
U
11/17
-1
L
L
O