SEASeahawks
5-5
30
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
57°F
1 mph
27
CARPanthers
6-4
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
57°F
1 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
10
7
13
30
Panthers
3
10
7
7
27
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
397
476
Total Plays
61
57
Yards / Play
6.5
8.4
EPA / Play
+0.29
+0.20
Passing Yards
322
--
Comp/Att
22/31(71%)
25/30(83%)
Yards / Pass
10.4
--
EPA / Pass
+0.69
+0.28
Rushing Yards
75
220
Rush Attempts
28
27
Yards / Rush
2.7
8.1
EPA / Rush
-0.23
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
26
Passing 1st downs
13
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
43%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
8
Red Zone %
40%
43%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
7
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.48
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-17
--
Sack EPA
-3.60
--
Penalties
4
3
Penalty Yards
36
30
Penalty EPA
-4.81
-2.09
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model62.8%
Spread Pick
Panthers-3.0
Expected Value
+4.3%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+132
Home nfelo
1,533
Away nfelo
1,523
Home Field
+108.0
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
+30.8
Net QB Adjustment
+14.7
Home QB Adjustment
+21.6
Away QB Adjustment
+6.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
90.8
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+6.9
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+21.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
20
Yards / Game
18
16
Passing Yards / Game
19
23
Rushing Yards / Game
1
12
EPA
EPA / Play
6
27
EPA / Pass
8
27
EPA / Rush
5
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
26
Interceptions / Game
2
16
Fumbles / Game
2
10
Turnover EPA / Game
31
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
20
4th Down Efficiency
3
18
RZ Efficiency
6
28
Panthers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
13
Yards / Game
9
19
Passing Yards / Game
17
24
Rushing Yards / Game
4
18
EPA
EPA / Play
9
19
EPA / Pass
14
11
EPA / Rush
4
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
8
Interceptions / Game
25
19
Fumbles / Game
9
3
Turnover EPA / Game
19
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
5
4th Down Efficiency
26
5
RZ Efficiency
12
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
5-3-2
ATS
4-6
O/U
Panthers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U