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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ panthers week 12, 2018

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
5-5
30
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
57°F
1 mph
27
CARPanthers
6-4
CAR logo
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
57°F
1 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
10
7
13
30
Panthers
3
10
7
7
27

Spread

SEA logo
+3

Total

OVER
46.5

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Panthers logo
Total Yards
397
476
Total Plays
61
57
Yards / Play
6.5
8.4
EPA / Play
+0.29
+0.20
Passing Yards
322
--
Comp/Att
22/31(71%)
25/30(83%)
Yards / Pass
10.4
--
EPA / Pass
+0.69
+0.28
Rushing Yards
75
220
Rush Attempts
28
27
Yards / Rush
2.7
8.1
EPA / Rush
-0.23
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Panthers logo
1st Downs
21
26
Passing 1st downs
13
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
43%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
8
Red Zone %
40%
43%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
7
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Panthers logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.48
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-17
--
Sack EPA
-3.60
--
Penalties
4
3
Penalty Yards
36
30
Penalty EPA
-4.81
-2.09

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
CAR logo
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.5

Win Probability

Market59.3%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
CAR logo
Panthers-3.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+4.3%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+134
Home nfelo
1,530
Away nfelo
1,520
Home Field
+109.3
Base HFA
+58.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.2
Time Adj
+31.1
Net QB Adjustment
+14.7
Home QB Adjustment
+21.6
Away QB Adjustment
+6.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
91.8
Model Spread
-3.5

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+6.9
Value
Ptile
09/09
-3.9
23
09/17
-4.3
21
09/23
-0.5
43
09/30
-0.9
40
10/07
1.6
58
10/14
2.7
68
10/28
5.4
82
11/04
1.2
54
11/11
5.1
81
11/15
1.7
59
C. Newton headshot

C. Newton

Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+21.6
Value
Ptile
09/09
0.3
49
09/16
8.4
93
09/23
5.4
82
10/07
-0.9
41
10/14
5.0
79
10/21
5.1
80
10/28
10.3
97
11/04
2.1
63
11/08
-2.0
33
11/18
3.1
70

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Panthers Defense
Seahawks logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
7
20
Yards / Game
18
16
Passing Yards / Game
19
23
Rushing Yards / Game
1
12

EPA

EPA / Play
6
27
EPA / Pass
8
27
EPA / Rush
5
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
26
Interceptions / Game
2
16
Fumbles / Game
2
10
Turnover EPA / Game
31
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
18
20
4th Down Efficiency
3
18
RZ Efficiency
6
28
Panthers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Panthers logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
14
13
Yards / Game
9
19
Passing Yards / Game
17
24
Rushing Yards / Game
4
18

EPA

EPA / Play
9
19
EPA / Pass
14
11
EPA / Rush
4
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
6
8
Interceptions / Game
25
19
Fumbles / Game
9
3
Turnover EPA / Game
19
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
5
4th Down Efficiency
26
5
RZ Efficiency
12
8

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

5-5
SU
5-3-2
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/09
-3
L
P
O
09/17
-7
L
L
U
09/23
11
W
W
U
09/30
3
W
L
U
10/07
-2
L
W
O
10/14
24
W
W
U
10/28
14
W
W
U
11/04
-8
L
L
U
11/11
-5
L
W
O
11/15
3
W
P
O
CAR logo

Panthers

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/09
8
W
W
U
09/16
-7
L
L
O
09/23
10
W
W
O
10/07
2
W
L
O
10/14
-6
L
L
U
10/21
4
W
W
U
10/28
15
W
W
O
11/04
14
W
W
O
11/08
-31
L
L
O
11/18
-1
L
L
U