SEASeahawks
1-0
23
TBD
Gillette Stadium
77°F
5 mph
20
NEPatriots
1-0
TBD
Gillette Stadium
77°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Seahawks
7
10
0
3
3
23
Patriots
7
6
0
7
0
20
Spread
3
P
Total
OVER
39
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
358
310
Total Plays
66
66
Yards / Play
5.4
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.03
Passing Yards
312
125
Comp/Att
33/44(75%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
4.6
EPA / Pass
+0.21
-0.01
Rushing Yards
46
185
Rush Attempts
19
36
Yards / Rush
2.4
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.40
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
19
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
47%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-15
-24
Sack EPA
-3.43
-6.19
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
50
42
Penalty EPA
-5.51
-5.00
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model54.9%
Spread Pick
Patriots+3.0
Expected Value
+6.4%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+3
Home nfelo
1,453
Away nfelo
1,529
Home Field
+71.7
Base HFA
+46.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+25.1
Net QB Adjustment
+7.2
Home QB Adjustment
+9.8
Away QB Adjustment
+2.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-34.1
Model Spread
+2.0
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+2.5
J. Brissett
Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
+9.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
21
Yards / Game
15
21
Passing Yards / Game
4
1
Rushing Yards / Game
28
22
EPA
EPA / Play
20
26
EPA / Pass
21
30
EPA / Rush
18
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
6
Interceptions / Game
26
27
Fumbles / Game
6
30
Turnover EPA / Game
10
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
27
4th Down Efficiency
21
11
RZ Efficiency
14
26
Patriots Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
13
Yards / Game
31
13
Passing Yards / Game
22
9
Rushing Yards / Game
14
16
EPA
EPA / Play
28
10
EPA / Pass
27
8
EPA / Rush
25
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
5
Interceptions / Game
11
13
Fumbles / Game
29
19
Turnover EPA / Game
9
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
10
4th Down Efficiency
14
6
RZ Efficiency
30
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Patriots
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U