nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ patriots week 2, 2024

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

SEA logo
SEASeahawks
1-0
23
TBD
Gillette Stadium
77°F
5 mph
20
NEPatriots
1-0
NE logo
TBD
Gillette Stadium
77°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Seahawks
7
10
0
3
3
23
Patriots
7
6
0
7
0
20

Spread

SEA logo
NE logo
3
P

Total

OVER
39

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Patriots logo
Total Yards
358
310
Total Plays
66
66
Yards / Play
5.4
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.03
Passing Yards
312
125
Comp/Att
33/44(75%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
4.6
EPA / Pass
+0.21
-0.01
Rushing Yards
46
185
Rush Attempts
19
36
Yards / Rush
2.4
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.40
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Patriots logo
1st Downs
18
19
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
47%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Patriots logo
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-15
-24
Sack EPA
-3.43
-6.19
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
50
42
Penalty EPA
-5.51
-5.00

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.0

Win Probability

Market59.7%
Model54.3%
Spread Pick
NE logo
Patriots+3.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+6.4%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+5
Home nfelo
1,454
Away nfelo
1,528
Home Field
+71.7
Base HFA
+46.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+25.1
Net QB Adjustment
+7.2
Home QB Adjustment
+9.8
Away QB Adjustment
+2.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-29.8
Model Spread
+2.0

Quarterbacks

E. Smith headshot

E. Smith

Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+2.5
Value
Ptile
10/29
-0.2
48
11/05
-9.0
5
11/12
7.2
91
11/19
0.0
49
11/23
-7.0
11
11/30
8.1
94
12/24
1.1
56
12/31
6.3
88
01/07
2.0
64
09/08
0.8
53
J. Brissett headshot

J. Brissett

Proj. Value
-0.2
Team Elo Adj
+9.8
Value
Ptile
09/22
2.7
73
10/02
-1.9
38
10/09
1.4
63
10/16
-8.3
5
10/23
-1.8
40
10/31
5.1
85
11/13
-1.0
46
11/20
10.3
97
11/27
-2.6
30
09/08
-2.6
30

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Patriots Defense
Seahawks logo
Patriots logo

Total

Points / Game
17
21
Yards / Game
15
21
Passing Yards / Game
4
1
Rushing Yards / Game
28
22

EPA

EPA / Play
20
26
EPA / Pass
21
30
EPA / Rush
18
18

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
6
Interceptions / Game
26
27
Fumbles / Game
6
30
Turnover EPA / Game
10
3

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
27
4th Down Efficiency
21
11
RZ Efficiency
14
26
Patriots Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Patriots logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
30
13
Yards / Game
31
13
Passing Yards / Game
22
9
Rushing Yards / Game
14
16

EPA

EPA / Play
28
10
EPA / Pass
27
8
EPA / Rush
25
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
1
5
Interceptions / Game
11
13
Fumbles / Game
29
19
Turnover EPA / Game
9
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
10
4th Down Efficiency
14
6
RZ Efficiency
30
8

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/12
3
W
L
O
11/19
-1
L
W
U
11/23
-18
L
L
O
11/30
-6
L
W
O
12/10
-12
L
W
U
12/18
3
W
W
U
12/24
3
W
P
U
12/31
-7
L
L
O
01/07
1
W
L
U
09/08
6
W
L
O
NE logo

Patriots

3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/05
-3
L
L
U
11/12
-4
L
L
U
11/26
-3
L
L
U
12/03
-6
L
L
U
12/07
3
W
W
O
12/17
-10
L
P
O
12/24
3
W
W
O
12/31
-6
L
W
O
01/07
-14
L
L
U
09/08
6
W
W
U