SEASeahawks
2-2
16
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
78°F
010
LARRams
3-1
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
78°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
10
3
3
16
Rams
0
10
0
0
10
Spread
+2
Total
UNDER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
241
375
Total Plays
66
71
Yards / Play
3.7
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.24
Passing Yards
179
275
Comp/Att
24/38(63%)
22/47(47%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.24
-0.21
Rushing Yards
62
100
Rush Attempts
25
22
Yards / Rush
2.5
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.27
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
21
Passing 1st downs
11
14
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
47%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
8
8
3rd Down Attempts
17
15
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
4
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-6.43
-20.42
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-19
-13
Sack EPA
-3.39
-7.55
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
40
45
Penalty EPA
-6.13
-1.60
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-2.0
Model
+1.5
Win Probability
Market54.2%
Model46.7%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+2.0
Expected Value
+1.8%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-65
Home nfelo
1,483
Away nfelo
1,607
Home Field
+51.5
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
-25.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+7.5
Home QB Adjustment
+16.3
Away QB Adjustment
+8.8
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-22.9
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+8.8
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+16.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
12
Yards / Game
15
17
Passing Yards / Game
9
11
Rushing Yards / Game
23
27
EPA
EPA / Play
19
7
EPA / Pass
13
5
EPA / Rush
24
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
24
Interceptions / Game
13
7
Fumbles / Game
7
3
Turnover EPA / Game
25
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
14
4th Down Efficiency
7
27
RZ Efficiency
12
24
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
9
Yards / Game
8
11
Passing Yards / Game
13
9
Rushing Yards / Game
7
20
EPA
EPA / Play
6
8
EPA / Pass
8
6
EPA / Rush
7
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
10
Interceptions / Game
1
14
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
21
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
16
4th Down Efficiency
22
15
RZ Efficiency
15
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
8-2
O/U