nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ rams week 5, 2017

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

SEA logo
SEASeahawks
2-2
16
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
78°F
0
10
LARRams
3-1
LAR logo
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
78°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
10
3
3
16
Rams
0
10
0
0
10

Spread

SEA logo
+2

Total

UNDER
46.5

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Rams logo
Total Yards
241
375
Total Plays
66
71
Yards / Play
3.7
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.24
Passing Yards
179
275
Comp/Att
24/38(63%)
22/47(47%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.24
-0.21
Rushing Yards
62
100
Rush Attempts
25
22
Yards / Rush
2.5
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.27
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Rams logo
1st Downs
15
21
Passing 1st downs
11
14
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
47%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
8
8
3rd Down Attempts
17
15
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Rams logo
Turnovers
3
4
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-6.43
-20.42
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-19
-13
Sack EPA
-3.39
-7.55
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
40
45
Penalty EPA
-6.13
-1.60

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
LAR logo
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-2.0
Model
+1.0

Win Probability

Market54.2%
Model47.0%
Spread Pick
SEA logo
Seahawks+2.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+0.9%
Cover Probability
51.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-61
Home nfelo
1,485
Away nfelo
1,606
Home Field
+52.1
Base HFA
+58.0
Divisional Adj
-26.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.3
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+7.5
Home QB Adjustment
+16.3
Away QB Adjustment
+8.8
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-20.7
Model Spread
+1.0

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+8.8
Value
Ptile
12/11
-11.2
1
12/15
1.2
58
12/24
4.7
82
01/01
0.9
56
01/07
-0.2
47
01/14
-1.9
35
09/10
-4.1
24
09/17
-1.7
40
09/24
9.5
97
10/01
4.9
84
J. Goff headshot

J. Goff

Proj. Value
+1.5
Team Elo Adj
+16.3
Value
Ptile
11/27
-1.3
38
12/04
-11.7
1
12/11
-6.0
12
12/15
-7.3
7
12/24
-12.7
1
01/01
-10.6
2
09/10
4.0
80
09/17
-3.7
26
09/21
8.5
94
10/01
1.7
65

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Seahawks logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
12
12
Yards / Game
15
17
Passing Yards / Game
9
11
Rushing Yards / Game
23
27

EPA

EPA / Play
19
7
EPA / Pass
13
5
EPA / Rush
24
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
24
Interceptions / Game
13
7
Fumbles / Game
7
3
Turnover EPA / Game
25
24

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
14
4th Down Efficiency
7
27
RZ Efficiency
12
24
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Rams logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
3
9
Yards / Game
8
11
Passing Yards / Game
13
9
Rushing Yards / Game
7
20

EPA

EPA / Play
6
8
EPA / Pass
8
6
EPA / Rush
7
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
10
Interceptions / Game
1
14
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
21
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
16
4th Down Efficiency
22
15
RZ Efficiency
15
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/11
-28
L
L
O
12/15
21
W
W
U
12/24
-3
L
L
O
01/01
2
W
L
O
01/07
20
W
W
U
01/14
-16
L
L
O
09/10
-8
L
L
U
09/17
3
W
L
U
09/24
-6
L
L
O
10/01
28
W
W
O
LAR logo

Rams

3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
8-2
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/27
-28
L
L
O
12/04
-16
L
L
U
12/11
-28
L
L
O
12/15
-21
L
L
U
12/24
-1
L
L
O
01/01
-38
L
L
O
09/10
37
W
W
O
09/17
-7
L
L
O
09/21
2
W
L
O
10/01
5
W
W
O