SEASeahawks
4-4
31
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
75°F
1 mph
36
LARRams
8-1
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
75°F
1 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
14
0
7
10
31
Rams
7
10
3
16
36
Spread
+9.5
Total
OVER
51
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
414
456
Total Plays
64
65
Yards / Play
6.5
7.0
EPA / Play
+0.24
+0.32
Passing Yards
141
307
Comp/Att
17/26(65%)
28/39(72%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
7.9
EPA / Pass
+0.15
+0.31
Rushing Yards
273
149
Rush Attempts
34
24
Yards / Rush
8.0
6.2
EPA / Rush
+0.32
+0.37
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
29
25
Passing 1st downs
9
17
Rushing 1st downs
15
8
Penalty 1st downs
5
--
3rd Down %
22%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
9
10
Red Zone %
75%
57%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
4
7
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.94
--
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-35
-11
Sack EPA
-11.28
-3.27
Penalties
7
10
Penalty Yards
56
102
Penalty EPA
-4.20
-13.25
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-9.5
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market78.5%
Model78.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+233
Home nfelo
1,672
Away nfelo
1,515
Home Field
+51.9
Base HFA
+57.8
Divisional Adj
-26.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+23.6
Home QB Adjustment
+25.6
Away QB Adjustment
+2.0
Market Regression
-10.5
Final Difference
225.0
Model Spread
-9.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+2.0
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+25.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
18
Yards / Game
18
20
Passing Yards / Game
19
15
Rushing Yards / Game
1
17
EPA
EPA / Play
6
17
EPA / Pass
8
10
EPA / Rush
5
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
26
Interceptions / Game
2
5
Fumbles / Game
2
6
Turnover EPA / Game
31
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
6
4th Down Efficiency
3
21
RZ Efficiency
6
15
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
13
Yards / Game
3
19
Passing Yards / Game
9
24
Rushing Yards / Game
3
18
EPA
EPA / Play
3
19
EPA / Pass
5
11
EPA / Rush
3
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
8
Interceptions / Game
12
19
Fumbles / Game
6
3
Turnover EPA / Game
28
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
5
4th Down Efficiency
19
5
RZ Efficiency
19
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Rams
8-2
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U