SEASeahawks
6-2
16
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
023
LARRams
5-3
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
6
0
3
16
Rams
10
7
6
0
23
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
55
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
333
389
Total Plays
65
69
Yards / Play
5.1
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.09
+0.03
Passing Yards
220
283
Comp/Att
22/37(59%)
27/37(73%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
7.6
EPA / Pass
-0.20
+0.14
Rushing Yards
113
106
Rush Attempts
22
29
Yards / Rush
5.1
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
24
Passing 1st downs
13
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
7
9
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
33%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-14.61
-5.56
Sacks
6
3
Sack Yards
-28
-19
Sack EPA
-6.34
-7.89
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
23
49
Penalty EPA
-4.95
-4.81
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-1.5
Current
-3.0
Model
+0.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model48.6%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+3.0
Expected Value
+9.1%
Cover Probability
53.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-78
Home nfelo
1,533
Away nfelo
1,594
Home Field
+5.2
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
-2.8
Home Bye Adj
+1.8
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-21.7
Home QB Adjustment
+5.5
Away QB Adjustment
+27.2
Market Regression
+23.5
Final Difference
-9.8
Model Spread
+0.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+27.2
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+1.8
Team Elo Adj
+5.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
2
Yards / Game
18
1
Passing Yards / Game
7
3
Rushing Yards / Game
12
4
EPA
EPA / Play
6
1
EPA / Pass
12
1
EPA / Rush
7
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
23
Interceptions / Game
22
13
Fumbles / Game
2
16
Turnover EPA / Game
14
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
4
4th Down Efficiency
18
7
RZ Efficiency
3
12
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
16
Yards / Game
17
22
Passing Yards / Game
16
31
Rushing Yards / Game
11
5
EPA
EPA / Play
26
14
EPA / Pass
20
22
EPA / Rush
24
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
4
Interceptions / Game
16
14
Fumbles / Game
19
17
Turnover EPA / Game
9
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
26
4th Down Efficiency
28
4
RZ Efficiency
18
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Rams
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U