SEASeahawks
3-6
24
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
07
LARRams
2-7
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
10
7
7
24
Rams
7
0
0
0
7
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
289
185
Total Plays
68
62
Yards / Play
4.3
3.0
EPA / Play
-0.20
-0.55
Passing Yards
163
143
Comp/Att
15/25(60%)
20/40(50%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
3.6
EPA / Pass
-0.20
-0.54
Rushing Yards
126
42
Rush Attempts
39
17
Yards / Rush
3.2
2.5
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.36
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
13
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
1
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
41%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
17
15
Red Zone %
75%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-10.01
-14.46
Sacks
4
5
Sack Yards
-40
-38
Sack EPA
-5.94
-15.32
Penalties
13
5
Penalty Yards
100
50
Penalty EPA
-9.93
-4.06
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model52.7%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+3.0
Expected Value
+8.4%
Cover Probability
53.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-20
Home nfelo
1,391
Away nfelo
1,425
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-20.7
Home QB Adjustment
-11.1
Away QB Adjustment
+9.7
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
18.6
Model Spread
-1.5
Quarterbacks
T. Jackson
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
+9.7
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-11.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
25
Yards / Game
28
21
Passing Yards / Game
23
14
Rushing Yards / Game
20
31
EPA
EPA / Play
25
16
EPA / Pass
20
20
EPA / Rush
27
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
1
Interceptions / Game
13
23
Fumbles / Game
17
29
Turnover EPA / Game
22
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
18
4th Down Efficiency
10
29
RZ Efficiency
21
13
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
7
Yards / Game
31
9
Passing Yards / Game
21
12
Rushing Yards / Game
23
15
EPA
EPA / Play
32
5
EPA / Pass
31
3
EPA / Rush
32
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
4
Interceptions / Game
3
3
Fumbles / Game
27
18
Turnover EPA / Game
13
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
10
4th Down Efficiency
24
30
RZ Efficiency
31
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
3-6-1
O/U