SEASeahawks
6-3
16
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
017
LARRams
3-6
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
6
3
0
16
Rams
0
7
0
10
17
Spread
+2.5
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
291
267
Total Plays
63
59
Yards / Play
4.6
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.10
Passing Yards
223
185
Comp/Att
24/40(60%)
17/31(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
6.0
EPA / Pass
-0.00
-0.15
Rushing Yards
68
82
Rush Attempts
21
27
Yards / Rush
3.2
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
20
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
5
3rd Down %
33%
22%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
9
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-0.30
-3.34
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-13
-5
Sack EPA
-3.62
-1.80
Penalties
12
9
Penalty Yards
130
92
Penalty EPA
-14.34
-9.06
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
+2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model53.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-0
Home nfelo
1,475
Away nfelo
1,516
Home Field
+36.9
Base HFA
+44.1
Divisional Adj
-19.9
Home Bye Adj
+12.7
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+4.1
Home QB Adjustment
-2.1
Away QB Adjustment
-6.2
Market Regression
+54.8
Final Difference
26.3
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-6.2
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-2.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
18
Yards / Game
22
18
Passing Yards / Game
7
29
Rushing Yards / Game
27
13
EPA
EPA / Play
9
21
EPA / Pass
12
19
EPA / Rush
12
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
26
Interceptions / Game
15
24
Fumbles / Game
1
30
Turnover EPA / Game
31
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
16
4th Down Efficiency
30
24
RZ Efficiency
26
20
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
24
Yards / Game
7
30
Passing Yards / Game
12
22
Rushing Yards / Game
12
31
EPA
EPA / Play
11
29
EPA / Pass
7
27
EPA / Rush
8
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
23
Interceptions / Game
18
19
Fumbles / Game
3
13
Turnover EPA / Game
23
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
31
4th Down Efficiency
5
15
RZ Efficiency
8
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Rams
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U