SEASeahawks
3-7
27
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
017
LARRams
1-9
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
1
3
10
21
Rams
0
10
0
7
17
Spread
-3.5
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
265
364
Total Plays
57
78
Yards / Play
4.6
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.21
Passing Yards
95
251
Comp/Att
14/25(56%)
28/46(61%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
5.5
EPA / Pass
-0.13
-0.32
Rushing Yards
170
113
Rush Attempts
31
28
Yards / Rush
5.5
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
23
Passing 1st downs
5
15
Rushing 1st downs
10
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
33%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
18
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.63
-13.05
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-7
-31
Sack EPA
-1.41
-7.24
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
52
35
Penalty EPA
-6.24
-7.46
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-31
Home nfelo
1,324
Away nfelo
1,425
Home Field
+56.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+13.8
Home QB Adjustment
+10.5
Away QB Adjustment
-3.3
Market Regression
-45.6
Final Difference
-91.7
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-3.3
K. Boller
Proj. Value
-3.4
Team Elo Adj
+10.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
31
Yards / Game
21
29
Passing Yards / Game
7
6
Rushing Yards / Game
26
27
EPA
EPA / Play
25
31
EPA / Pass
24
30
EPA / Rush
31
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
7
Interceptions / Game
24
31
Fumbles / Game
22
7
Turnover EPA / Game
7
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
29
4th Down Efficiency
22
15
RZ Efficiency
30
29
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
25
Yards / Game
29
23
Passing Yards / Game
24
5
Rushing Yards / Game
19
14
EPA
EPA / Play
32
21
EPA / Pass
31
28
EPA / Rush
30
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
11
Interceptions / Game
29
22
Fumbles / Game
19
23
Turnover EPA / Game
2
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
18
4th Down Efficiency
29
15
RZ Efficiency
31
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Rams
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U