SEASeahawks
5-8
10
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
020
LARRams
9-4
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
3
7
0
10
Rams
3
0
7
10
20
Spread
-7
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
214
332
Total Plays
53
62
Yards / Play
4.0
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.24
-0.01
Passing Yards
134
209
Comp/Att
17/31(55%)
21/29(72%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
7.2
EPA / Pass
-0.37
-0.08
Rushing Yards
80
123
Rush Attempts
19
29
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
20
Passing 1st downs
7
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
27%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.21
-5.53
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-22
-35
Sack EPA
-4.57
-7.56
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
65
34
Penalty EPA
-10.91
-3.81
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model70.2%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+7.0
Expected Value
+3.4%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+112
Home nfelo
1,635
Away nfelo
1,562
Home Field
+20.4
Base HFA
+37.1
Divisional Adj
-16.7
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+18.4
Home QB Adjustment
+16.7
Away QB Adjustment
-1.8
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
148.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-1.8
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+16.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
9
Yards / Game
20
13
Passing Yards / Game
24
27
Rushing Yards / Game
10
5
EPA
EPA / Play
13
6
EPA / Pass
17
9
EPA / Rush
6
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
28
Interceptions / Game
2
5
Fumbles / Game
5
28
Turnover EPA / Game
31
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
7
4th Down Efficiency
32
14
RZ Efficiency
3
9
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
12
Yards / Game
7
28
Passing Yards / Game
1
32
Rushing Yards / Game
27
17
EPA
EPA / Play
9
17
EPA / Pass
2
24
EPA / Rush
31
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
7
Interceptions / Game
26
22
Fumbles / Game
11
18
Turnover EPA / Game
14
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
15
4th Down Efficiency
17
3
RZ Efficiency
17
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
2-7-1
O/U
Rams
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U