SEASeahawks
7-5
35
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
65°F
2 mph
6
BALRavens
4-8
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
65°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
7
7
14
35
Ravens
0
6
0
0
6
Spread
-10.5
Total
UNDER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
424
302
Total Plays
69
55
Yards / Play
6.1
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.30
-0.23
Passing Yards
--
274
Comp/Att
24/33(73%)
23/40(57%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.90
-0.18
Rushing Yards
123
28
Rush Attempts
36
14
Yards / Rush
3.4
2.0
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.69
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
16
Passing 1st downs
17
13
Rushing 1st downs
8
--
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
67%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
80%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.21
-9.80
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
-1.39
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
42
94
Penalty EPA
-8.44
-8.69
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-10.5
Model
-10.5
Win Probability
Market81.3%
Model81.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-265
Home nfelo
1,475
Away nfelo
1,662
Home Field
+92.7
Base HFA
+60.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+32.4
Net QB Adjustment
-170.7
Home QB Adjustment
-146.0
Away QB Adjustment
+24.7
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-255.3
Model Spread
+10.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+24.7
J. Clausen
Proj. Value
-3.0
Team Elo Adj
-146.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
24
Yards / Game
8
10
Passing Yards / Game
18
16
Rushing Yards / Game
3
12
EPA
EPA / Play
3
21
EPA / Pass
1
24
EPA / Rush
12
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
30
Interceptions / Game
7
32
Fumbles / Game
5
15
Turnover EPA / Game
27
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
20
4th Down Efficiency
1
11
RZ Efficiency
15
11
Ravens Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
3
Yards / Game
14
1
Passing Yards / Game
25
6
Rushing Yards / Game
26
3
EPA
EPA / Play
22
8
EPA / Pass
23
6
EPA / Rush
26
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
5
Interceptions / Game
31
19
Fumbles / Game
3
14
Turnover EPA / Game
8
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
7
4th Down Efficiency
15
2
RZ Efficiency
24
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Ravens
4-6
SU
3-5-2
ATS
5-5
O/U