SEASeahawks
0-1
0
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
63°F
12 mph
24
PITSteelers
0-1
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
63°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
0
0
0
0
Steelers
7
10
7
0
24
Spread
-14
Total
UNDER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
164
421
Total Plays
47
68
Yards / Play
3.5
6.2
EPA / Play
-0.30
+0.15
Passing Yards
133
297
Comp/Att
20/29(69%)
23/31(74%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
9.6
EPA / Pass
-0.28
+0.46
Rushing Yards
31
124
Rush Attempts
13
35
Yards / Rush
2.4
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.41
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
8
23
Passing 1st downs
7
16
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
17%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
NaN%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
--
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-26
-16
Sack EPA
-8.08
-3.22
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
66
48
Penalty EPA
-7.92
-3.99
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-13.5
Current
-14.0
Model
-14.0
Win Probability
Market87.3%
Model87.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+351
Home nfelo
1,625
Away nfelo
1,403
Home Field
+117.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
+11.1
Home QB Adjustment
+2.2
Away QB Adjustment
-8.9
Market Regression
+16.6
Final Difference
334.9
Model Spread
-14.0
Quarterbacks
T. Jackson
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-8.9
B. Roethlisberger
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+2.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
1
Yards / Game
28
1
Passing Yards / Game
23
3
Rushing Yards / Game
20
8
EPA
EPA / Play
25
9
EPA / Pass
20
7
EPA / Rush
27
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
8
Interceptions / Game
13
25
Fumbles / Game
17
30
Turnover EPA / Game
22
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
19
4th Down Efficiency
10
28
RZ Efficiency
21
15
Steelers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
7
Yards / Game
11
9
Passing Yards / Game
4
12
Rushing Yards / Game
13
15
EPA
EPA / Play
7
5
EPA / Pass
8
3
EPA / Rush
7
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
4
Interceptions / Game
18
3
Fumbles / Game
26
18
Turnover EPA / Game
12
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
10
4th Down Efficiency
25
30
RZ Efficiency
15
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
9-1
O/U
Steelers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U