SEASeahawks
1-0
28
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
81°F
3 mph
26
PITSteelers
0-1
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
81°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
7
14
7
28
Steelers
0
10
3
13
26
Spread
+4
Total
OVER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
425
261
Total Plays
72
52
Yards / Play
5.9
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.01
-0.03
Passing Yards
274
180
Comp/Att
29/35(83%)
20/35(57%)
Yards / Pass
7.8
5.1
EPA / Pass
+0.39
-0.19
Rushing Yards
151
81
Rush Attempts
33
16
Yards / Rush
4.6
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.38
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
17
Passing 1st downs
15
10
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
38%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-11.96
-2.88
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-26
-7
Sack EPA
-7.37
-2.40
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
93
78
Penalty EPA
-9.38
-2.22
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-4.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market64.7%
Model64.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+133
Home nfelo
1,548
Away nfelo
1,530
Home Field
+108.6
Base HFA
+57.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.1
Time Adj
+30.9
Net QB Adjustment
+6.4
Home QB Adjustment
+4.5
Away QB Adjustment
-1.9
Market Regression
+7.5
Final Difference
105.3
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-1.9
B. Roethlisberger
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+4.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
5
Yards / Game
6
5
Passing Yards / Game
10
13
Rushing Yards / Game
6
14
EPA
EPA / Play
9
2
EPA / Pass
7
4
EPA / Rush
19
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
24
Interceptions / Game
1
2
Fumbles / Game
31
1
Turnover EPA / Game
20
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
6
4th Down Efficiency
10
18
RZ Efficiency
7
3
Steelers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
19
Yards / Game
30
23
Passing Yards / Game
30
7
Rushing Yards / Game
29
22
EPA
EPA / Play
31
19
EPA / Pass
30
18
EPA / Rush
32
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
9
Interceptions / Game
28
9
Fumbles / Game
22
4
Turnover EPA / Game
5
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
18
4th Down Efficiency
32
20
RZ Efficiency
32
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
8-2
O/U
Steelers
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
3-7
O/U