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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ titans week 16, 2023

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
7-7
20
TBD
Nissan Stadium
61°F
4 mph
17
TENTitans
5-9
TEN logo
TBD
Nissan Stadium
61°F
4 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
3
3
14
20
Titans
0
10
0
7
17

Spread

SEA logo
TEN logo
3
P

Total

UNDER
42

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Titans logo
Total Yards
273
287
Total Plays
59
64
Yards / Play
4.6
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.21
+0.10
Passing Yards
215
125
Comp/Att
25/36(69%)
19/27(70%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
4.6
EPA / Pass
+0.31
-0.03
Rushing Yards
58
162
Rush Attempts
20
31
Yards / Rush
2.9
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.17
+0.21
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Titans logo
1st Downs
21
23
Passing 1st downs
14
10
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
54%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Titans logo
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
6
Sack Yards
-12
-39
Sack EPA
-3.54
-5.37
Penalties
6
10
Penalty Yards
47
97
Penalty EPA
-4.65
-10.99

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5

Win Probability

Market59.7%
Model56.5%
Spread Pick
TEN logo
Titans+3.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-9
Home nfelo
1,446
Away nfelo
1,526
Home Field
+77.4
Base HFA
+45.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.8
Time Adj
+16.2
Net QB Adjustment
-6.2
Home QB Adjustment
-6.7
Away QB Adjustment
-0.5
Market Regression
-12.8
Final Difference
-45.6
Model Spread
+2.5

Quarterbacks

E. Smith headshot

E. Smith

Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
-0.5
Value
Ptile
09/24
-1.2
42
10/02
-4.0
24
10/15
-2.0
35
10/22
-0.9
44
10/29
-0.2
48
11/05
-9.0
5
11/12
7.2
91
11/19
0.0
49
11/23
-7.0
11
11/30
8.1
94
R. Tannehill headshot

R. Tannehill

Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-6.7
Value
Ptile
11/27
2.4
72
12/04
-3.0
28
12/11
-2.4
33
12/18
-5.7
14
09/10
-11.1
2
09/17
2.3
66
09/24
-8.6
6
10/01
-1.6
39
10/08
-1.0
43
10/15
-8.4
7

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Titans Defense
Seahawks logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
17
15
Yards / Game
22
17
Passing Yards / Game
7
19
Rushing Yards / Game
27
14

EPA

EPA / Play
9
28
EPA / Pass
12
30
EPA / Rush
12
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
4
Interceptions / Game
15
32
Fumbles / Game
1
13
Turnover EPA / Game
31
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
18
4th Down Efficiency
30
26
RZ Efficiency
26
1
Titans Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Titans logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
27
24
Yards / Game
28
30
Passing Yards / Game
18
22
Rushing Yards / Game
18
31

EPA

EPA / Play
16
29
EPA / Pass
21
27
EPA / Rush
13
30

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
18
23
Interceptions / Game
10
19
Fumbles / Game
6
13
Turnover EPA / Game
29
8

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
31
4th Down Efficiency
11
15
RZ Efficiency
28
25

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/15
-4
L
L
U
10/22
10
W
W
U
10/29
4
W
P
O
11/05
-34
L
L
U
11/12
3
W
L
O
11/19
-1
L
W
U
11/23
-18
L
L
O
11/30
-6
L
W
O
12/10
-12
L
W
U
12/18
3
W
W
U
TEN logo

Titans

3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/08
-7
L
L
U
10/15
-8
L
L
U
10/29
5
W
W
O
11/02
-4
L
L
U
11/12
-14
L
L
U
11/19
-20
L
L
O
11/26
7
W
W
U
12/03
-3
L
L
O
12/11
1
W
W
O
12/17
-3
L
L
U