SEASeahawks
7-7
20
TBD
Nissan Stadium
61°F
4 mph
17
TENTitans
5-9
TBD
Nissan Stadium
61°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
3
3
14
20
Titans
0
10
0
7
17
Spread
3
P
Total
UNDER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
273
287
Total Plays
59
64
Yards / Play
4.6
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.21
+0.10
Passing Yards
215
125
Comp/Att
25/36(69%)
19/27(70%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
4.6
EPA / Pass
+0.31
-0.03
Rushing Yards
58
162
Rush Attempts
20
31
Yards / Rush
2.9
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.17
+0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
23
Passing 1st downs
14
10
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
54%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
6
Sack Yards
-12
-39
Sack EPA
-3.54
-5.37
Penalties
6
10
Penalty Yards
47
97
Penalty EPA
-4.65
-10.99
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model56.5%
Spread Pick
Titans+3.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-8
Home nfelo
1,446
Away nfelo
1,525
Home Field
+77.5
Base HFA
+45.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.8
Time Adj
+16.3
Net QB Adjustment
-6.1
Home QB Adjustment
-6.8
Away QB Adjustment
-0.7
Market Regression
-12.4
Final Difference
-45.2
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-0.7
R. Tannehill
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-6.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
15
Yards / Game
22
17
Passing Yards / Game
7
19
Rushing Yards / Game
27
14
EPA
EPA / Play
9
28
EPA / Pass
12
30
EPA / Rush
12
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
4
Interceptions / Game
15
32
Fumbles / Game
1
13
Turnover EPA / Game
31
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
18
4th Down Efficiency
30
26
RZ Efficiency
26
1
Titans Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
24
Yards / Game
28
30
Passing Yards / Game
18
22
Rushing Yards / Game
18
31
EPA
EPA / Play
16
29
EPA / Pass
21
27
EPA / Rush
13
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
23
Interceptions / Game
10
19
Fumbles / Game
6
13
Turnover EPA / Game
29
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
31
4th Down Efficiency
11
15
RZ Efficiency
28
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Titans
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U