SEASeahawks
3-6
9
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
035
MINVikings
8-1
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
0
3
6
9
Vikings
0
21
7
7
35
Spread
-11
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
212
431
Total Plays
44
72
Yards / Play
4.8
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.25
+0.20
Passing Yards
208
271
Comp/Att
19/30(63%)
28/33(85%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
8.2
EPA / Pass
-0.04
+0.73
Rushing Yards
4
160
Rush Attempts
12
37
Yards / Rush
0.3
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.66
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
28
Passing 1st downs
8
17
Rushing 1st downs
1
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
10%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
1
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.35
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-23
-19
Sack EPA
-3.08
-3.17
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
64
31
Penalty EPA
-6.90
-2.63
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-12.0
Current
-11.0
Model
-11.0
Win Probability
Market81.7%
Model81.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+289
Home nfelo
1,601
Away nfelo
1,435
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+37.8
Home QB Adjustment
+31.9
Away QB Adjustment
-5.8
Market Regression
-20.5
Final Difference
259.9
Model Spread
-11.0
Quarterbacks
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-5.8
B. Favre
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+31.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
8
Yards / Game
21
4
Passing Yards / Game
7
24
Rushing Yards / Game
26
1
EPA
EPA / Play
25
3
EPA / Pass
24
12
EPA / Rush
31
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
19
Interceptions / Game
24
27
Fumbles / Game
22
5
Turnover EPA / Game
7
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
2
4th Down Efficiency
22
4
RZ Efficiency
30
11
Vikings Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
25
Yards / Game
6
23
Passing Yards / Game
15
5
Rushing Yards / Game
11
14
EPA
EPA / Play
5
21
EPA / Pass
3
28
EPA / Rush
32
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
11
Interceptions / Game
1
22
Fumbles / Game
24
23
Turnover EPA / Game
25
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
18
4th Down Efficiency
8
15
RZ Efficiency
3
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Vikings
8-2
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-3-1
O/U