PITSteelers
0-2
20
TBD
Levi's Stadium
79°F
3 mph
24
SF49ers
2-0
TBD
Levi's Stadium
79°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
6
0
7
7
20
49ers
0
3
14
7
24
Spread
+6
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
239
436
Total Plays
51
73
Yards / Play
4.7
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.25
-0.17
Passing Yards
160
268
Comp/Att
14/27(52%)
23/32(72%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
8.4
EPA / Pass
-0.24
+0.11
Rushing Yards
79
168
Rush Attempts
22
40
Yards / Rush
3.6
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.34
-0.38
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
26
Passing 1st downs
5
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
25%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
5
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
3
Turnover EPA
-9.11
-24.14
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-14
-9
Sack EPA
-2.56
-1.59
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
42
71
Penalty EPA
-6.05
-6.21
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-6.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market69.3%
Model73.6%
Spread Pick
49ers-6.0
Expected Value
+10.4%
Cover Probability
55.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+219
Home nfelo
1,526
Away nfelo
1,531
Home Field
+77.4
Base HFA
+57.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+20.4
Net QB Adjustment
+147.3
Home QB Adjustment
+4.2
Away QB Adjustment
-143.1
Market Regression
-6.9
Final Difference
178.4
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
M. Rudolph
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-143.1
No recent game data available
J. Garoppolo
Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
+4.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
7
Yards / Game
30
2
Passing Yards / Game
30
2
Rushing Yards / Game
29
12
EPA
EPA / Play
31
3
EPA / Pass
30
2
EPA / Rush
32
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
22
Interceptions / Game
28
7
Fumbles / Game
22
5
Turnover EPA / Game
5
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
2
4th Down Efficiency
32
8
RZ Efficiency
32
27
49ers Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
5
Yards / Game
8
5
Passing Yards / Game
15
13
Rushing Yards / Game
2
14
EPA
EPA / Play
4
2
EPA / Pass
5
4
EPA / Rush
8
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
24
Interceptions / Game
20
2
Fumbles / Game
26
1
Turnover EPA / Game
13
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
6
4th Down Efficiency
12
18
RZ Efficiency
19
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
4-6
SU
3-6-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
49ers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U