PITSteelers
8-1
19
TBD
Paycor Stadium
50°F
7 mph
14
CINBengals
4-5
TBD
Paycor Stadium
50°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
3
1
7
0
11
Bengals
7
7
0
0
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
235
209
Total Plays
68
44
Yards / Play
3.5
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.25
Passing Yards
84
147
Comp/Att
15/21(71%)
13/25(52%)
Yards / Pass
4.0
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.45
-0.33
Rushing Yards
151
62
Rush Attempts
40
16
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.9
EPA / Rush
+0.04
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
10
Passing 1st downs
7
7
Rushing 1st downs
11
2
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
44%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
8
2
3rd Down Attempts
18
10
Red Zone %
20%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.60
-5.41
Sacks
7
3
Sack Yards
-54
-18
Sack EPA
-14.28
-3.68
Penalties
8
10
Penalty Yards
56
97
Penalty EPA
-7.27
-9.38
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
21
Yards / Game
13
17
Passing Yards / Game
26
26
Rushing Yards / Game
2
25
EPA
EPA / Play
12
10
EPA / Pass
12
9
EPA / Rush
14
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
26
Interceptions / Game
14
8
Fumbles / Game
9
6
Turnover EPA / Game
18
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
15
4th Down Efficiency
8
6
RZ Efficiency
25
9
Bengals Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
6
Yards / Game
18
1
Passing Yards / Game
30
6
Rushing Yards / Game
16
2
EPA
EPA / Play
23
5
EPA / Pass
22
3
EPA / Rush
21
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
21
Interceptions / Game
29
12
Fumbles / Game
21
18
Turnover EPA / Game
6
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
5
4th Down Efficiency
14
22
RZ Efficiency
19
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U