PITSteelers
5-6
48
TBD
Paycor Stadium
46°F
12 mph
28
CINBengals
2-9
TBD
Paycor Stadium
46°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
14
10
15
3
42
Bengals
7
7
7
7
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
372
309
Total Plays
63
63
Yards / Play
5.9
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.44
+0.06
Passing Yards
187
100
Comp/Att
12/22(55%)
10/20(50%)
Yards / Pass
8.5
5.0
EPA / Pass
+0.56
-0.11
Rushing Yards
185
209
Rush Attempts
38
41
Yards / Rush
4.9
5.1
EPA / Rush
+0.16
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
23
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
11
14
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
60%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
9
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
+4.19
-11.29
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-22
-29
Sack EPA
-4.73
-8.46
Penalties
4
3
Penalty Yards
35
15
Penalty EPA
-0.50
-1.23
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
19
Yards / Game
17
24
Passing Yards / Game
21
21
Rushing Yards / Game
3
24
EPA
EPA / Play
12
22
EPA / Pass
23
29
EPA / Rush
6
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
6
Interceptions / Game
2
31
Fumbles / Game
10
11
Turnover EPA / Game
30
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
25
4th Down Efficiency
12
7
RZ Efficiency
19
10
Bengals Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
6
Yards / Game
29
8
Passing Yards / Game
29
5
Rushing Yards / Game
2
13
EPA
EPA / Play
29
7
EPA / Pass
31
11
EPA / Rush
13
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
12
Interceptions / Game
7
12
Fumbles / Game
28
2
Turnover EPA / Game
10
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
9
4th Down Efficiency
21
15
RZ Efficiency
27
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
2-8
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U