nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. steelers @ bengals week 14, 2015

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

PIT logo
PITSteelers
7-5
33
TBD
Paycor Stadium
63°F
8 mph
20
CINBengals
10-2
CIN logo
TBD
Paycor Stadium
63°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
7
9
1
10
27
Bengals
0
7
3
10
20

Spread

PIT logo
+1

Total

OVER
49

Game Statistics

General
Steelers logo
Bengals logo
Total Yards
354
385
Total Plays
69
56
Yards / Play
5.1
6.9
EPA / Play
+0.20
-0.06
Passing Yards
270
321
Comp/Att
30/39(77%)
25/37(68%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
8.7
EPA / Pass
+0.25
-0.05
Rushing Yards
84
64
Rush Attempts
28
16
Yards / Rush
3.0
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
Steelers logo
Bengals logo
1st Downs
22
22
Passing 1st downs
13
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
57%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
8
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Steelers logo
Bengals logo
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.70
-18.06
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-12
-18
Sack EPA
-4.08
-3.86
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
82
27
Penalty EPA
+1.55
-3.95

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
CIN logo
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-1.0
Model
-2.5

Win Probability

Market52.2%
Model56.3%
Spread Pick
CIN logo
Bengals-1.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+5.0%
Cover Probability
54.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+90
Home nfelo
1,644
Away nfelo
1,584
Home Field
+54.7
Base HFA
+61.0
Divisional Adj
-27.5
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.3
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-25.0
Home QB Adjustment
+21.5
Away QB Adjustment
+46.4
Market Regression
-21.6
Final Difference
43.7
Model Spread
-2.5

Quarterbacks

B. Roethlisberger headshot

B. Roethlisberger

Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+46.4
Value
Ptile
12/21
1.4
60
12/28
4.3
79
01/03
-1.1
43
09/10
2.6
69
09/20
11.0
98
09/27
-3.3
26
11/01
-6.2
11
11/08
1.2
59
11/29
4.1
79
12/06
11.2
98
A. Dalton headshot

A. Dalton

Proj. Value
-1.9
Team Elo Adj
+21.5
Value
Ptile
09/27
7.2
92
10/04
6.1
87
10/11
4.3
80
10/18
6.1
87
11/01
-6.6
9
11/05
4.0
78
11/16
-5.3
13
11/22
2.3
66
11/29
4.5
81
12/06
5.1
82

Team Matchup Ranks

Steelers Offense vs Bengals Defense
Steelers logo
Bengals logo

Total

Points / Game
7
2
Yards / Game
3
13
Passing Yards / Game
13
24
Rushing Yards / Game
14
7

EPA

EPA / Play
9
7
EPA / Pass
12
5
EPA / Rush
7
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
23
Interceptions / Game
29
3
Fumbles / Game
7
27
Turnover EPA / Game
16
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
14
4th Down Efficiency
29
16
RZ Efficiency
13
4
Bengals Offense vs Steelers Defense
Bengals logo
Steelers logo

Total

Points / Game
5
9
Yards / Game
16
19
Passing Yards / Game
30
30
Rushing Yards / Game
13
5

EPA

EPA / Play
6
9
EPA / Pass
2
13
EPA / Rush
23
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
18
Interceptions / Game
6
8
Fumbles / Game
25
2
Turnover EPA / Game
25
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
15
4th Down Efficiency
4
4
RZ Efficiency
5
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

PIT logo

Steelers

6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/27
6
W
W
U
10/01
-3
L
P
U
10/12
4
W
W
U
10/18
12
W
W
U
10/25
-10
L
L
U
11/01
-6
L
L
U
11/08
3
W
L
O
11/15
21
W
W
U
11/29
-9
L
L
O
12/06
35
W
W
O
CIN logo

Bengals

8-2
SU
8-1-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/27
4
W
W
O
10/04
15
W
W
O
10/11
3
W
P
O
10/18
13
W
W
O
11/01
6
W
W
U
11/05
21
W
W
U
11/16
-4
L
L
U
11/22
-3
L
W
O
11/29
24
W
W
U
12/06
34
W
W
U