PIT logo
PIT
8-5
24
20
CIN
5-7
CIN logo
TBD
Paycor Stadium
24°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
3
6
6
9
24
Bengals
10
10
0
0
20

Spread

PIT logo
-3

Total

UNDER
45.5

Game Statistics

General
Steelers logo
Bengals logo
Total Yards
382
222
Total Plays
67
56
Yards / Play
5.7
4.0
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.07
Passing Yards
285
146
Comp/Att
21/37(57%)
16/27(59%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.37
-0.18
Rushing Yards
97
76
Rush Attempts
29
28
Yards / Rush
3.3
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.28
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
Steelers logo
Bengals logo
1st Downs
26
19
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
7
2
3rd Down %
38%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
20%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Steelers logo
Bengals logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.84
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-1
-11
Sack EPA
-0.70
-2.34
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
104
86
Penalty EPA
-10.91
-9.68

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PIT logo
PITFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-22
Home nfelo
1,543
Away nfelo
1,621
Home Field
+51.5
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
-25.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+5.3
Home QB Adjustment
+5.0
Away QB Adjustment
-0.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0

Team Matchup Ranks

Steelers Offense vs Bengals Defense
Steelers logo
Bengals logo

Total

Points / Game
12
7
Yards / Game
6
17
Passing Yards / Game
25
25
Rushing Yards / Game
8
21

EPA

EPA / Play
6
22
EPA / Pass
7
14
EPA / Rush
3
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
7
Interceptions / Game
21
4
Fumbles / Game
4
27
Turnover EPA / Game
20
7

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
16
4th Down Efficiency
11
14
RZ Efficiency
16
8
Bengals Offense vs Steelers Defense
Bengals logo
Steelers logo

Total

Points / Game
24
10
Yards / Game
12
10
Passing Yards / Game
9
10
Rushing Yards / Game
13
8

EPA

EPA / Play
10
18
EPA / Pass
12
15
EPA / Rush
5
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
32
Interceptions / Game
6
19
Fumbles / Game
7
15
Turnover EPA / Game
27
18

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
16
24
4th Down Efficiency
3
19
RZ Efficiency
18
5