PITSteelers
0-1
20
TBD
New Era Field
63°F
7 mph
3
BUFBills
0-2
TBD
New Era Field
63°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
1
3
0
10
14
Bills
0
3
0
0
3
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
270
172
Total Plays
55
53
Yards / Play
4.9
3.2
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.39
Passing Yards
100
120
Comp/Att
15/22(68%)
16/27(59%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
4.4
EPA / Pass
-0.21
-0.28
Rushing Yards
170
52
Rush Attempts
31
22
Yards / Rush
5.5
2.4
EPA / Rush
+0.08
-0.66
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
14
Passing 1st downs
5
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
1
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
33%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-16.29
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-7
-28
Sack EPA
-2.27
-5.31
Penalties
12
6
Penalty Yards
125
57
Penalty EPA
-12.76
-6.47
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
29
Yards / Game
3
20
Passing Yards / Game
17
3
Rushing Yards / Game
1
26
EPA
EPA / Play
8
29
EPA / Pass
5
17
EPA / Rush
4
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
8
Interceptions / Game
9
29
Fumbles / Game
4
29
Turnover EPA / Game
26
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
28
4th Down Efficiency
10
15
RZ Efficiency
28
24
Bills Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
1
Yards / Game
13
1
Passing Yards / Game
11
2
Rushing Yards / Game
23
1
EPA
EPA / Play
23
1
EPA / Pass
21
2
EPA / Rush
16
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
20
Interceptions / Game
20
16
Fumbles / Game
20
17
Turnover EPA / Game
8
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
5
4th Down Efficiency
10
3
RZ Efficiency
16
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U