PITSteelers
2-3
14
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
73°F
5 mph
17
DENBroncos
4-1
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
73°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
3
3
0
8
14
Broncos
0
7
0
10
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
217
242
Total Plays
69
48
Yards / Play
3.1
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.13
Passing Yards
130
165
Comp/Att
20/31(65%)
17/28(61%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.15
-0.25
Rushing Yards
87
77
Rush Attempts
31
18
Yards / Rush
2.8
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.22
-0.41
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
15
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
27%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
4
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
8
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.63
-14.99
Sacks
7
2
Sack Yards
-56
-7
Sack EPA
-11.02
-2.92
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
85
37
Penalty EPA
-8.70
-4.63
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
12
Yards / Game
22
5
Passing Yards / Game
9
3
Rushing Yards / Game
30
6
EPA
EPA / Play
27
14
EPA / Pass
17
15
EPA / Rush
32
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
27
Interceptions / Game
15
32
Fumbles / Game
16
13
Turnover EPA / Game
12
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
4
4th Down Efficiency
16
18
RZ Efficiency
23
6
Broncos Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
15
Yards / Game
7
9
Passing Yards / Game
31
17
Rushing Yards / Game
1
13
EPA
EPA / Play
10
9
EPA / Pass
15
20
EPA / Rush
3
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
4
Interceptions / Game
20
20
Fumbles / Game
2
18
Turnover EPA / Game
22
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
6
4th Down Efficiency
28
14
RZ Efficiency
7
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U