PITSteelers
4-1
28
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
37°F
10 mph
31
DENBroncos
2-3
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
37°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
7
0
7
14
28
Broncos
7
8
7
3
25
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
379
324
Total Plays
65
55
Yards / Play
5.8
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.15
+0.18
Passing Yards
260
234
Comp/Att
24/35(69%)
22/29(76%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
8.1
EPA / Pass
+0.26
+0.32
Rushing Yards
119
90
Rush Attempts
26
24
Yards / Rush
4.6
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
21
Passing 1st downs
17
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
67%
70%
3rd Down Conversions
8
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
10
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-13.63
-8.79
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-30
-14
Sack EPA
-11.71
-2.42
Penalties
3
2
Penalty Yards
23
20
Penalty EPA
-4.15
-2.75
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
28
Yards / Game
16
19
Passing Yards / Game
18
4
Rushing Yards / Game
5
30
EPA
EPA / Play
6
31
EPA / Pass
6
31
EPA / Rush
13
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
17
Interceptions / Game
13
24
Fumbles / Game
6
3
Turnover EPA / Game
26
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
26
4th Down Efficiency
10
31
RZ Efficiency
7
23
Broncos Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
5
Yards / Game
10
1
Passing Yards / Game
3
2
Rushing Yards / Game
8
5
EPA
EPA / Play
15
9
EPA / Pass
11
1
EPA / Rush
10
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
5
Interceptions / Game
9
29
Fumbles / Game
24
10
Turnover EPA / Game
14
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
18
4th Down Efficiency
30
5
RZ Efficiency
21
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
4-6
SU
1-9
ATS
0-0-10
O/U