PITSteelers
13-5
34
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
34°F
11 mph
17
DENBroncos
14-3
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
34°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
3
21
0
10
34
Broncos
0
3
7
7
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
358
308
Total Plays
64
54
Yards / Play
5.6
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.29
-0.02
Passing Yards
268
211
Comp/Att
21/29(72%)
18/30(60%)
Yards / Pass
9.2
7.0
EPA / Pass
+0.80
-0.36
Rushing Yards
90
97
Rush Attempts
33
21
Yards / Rush
2.7
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.12
+0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
16
Passing 1st downs
15
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
63%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
10
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
80%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-14.90
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-7
-12
Sack EPA
-2.49
-9.32
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
61
20
Penalty EPA
-8.52
-2.05
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
6
Yards / Game
14
19
Passing Yards / Game
24
4
Rushing Yards / Game
5
2
EPA
EPA / Play
8
13
EPA / Pass
2
15
EPA / Rush
8
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
30
Interceptions / Game
9
6
Fumbles / Game
4
4
Turnover EPA / Game
28
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
16
4th Down Efficiency
12
18
RZ Efficiency
4
28
Broncos Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
3
Yards / Game
5
7
Passing Yards / Game
13
29
Rushing Yards / Game
3
3
EPA
EPA / Play
6
6
EPA / Pass
9
8
EPA / Rush
2
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
19
Interceptions / Game
2
14
Fumbles / Game
15
6
Turnover EPA / Game
31
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
21
4th Down Efficiency
2
14
RZ Efficiency
6
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U