PITSteelers
4-3
23
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
40°F
6 mph
20
CLEBrowns
4-4
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
40°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
3
14
0
6
23
Browns
1
7
0
6
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
391
193
Total Plays
85
42
Yards / Play
4.6
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.20
Passing Yards
255
157
Comp/Att
25/44(57%)
15/24(63%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
6.5
EPA / Pass
+0.07
-0.16
Rushing Yards
136
36
Rush Attempts
39
14
Yards / Rush
3.5
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.32
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
9
Passing 1st downs
14
7
Rushing 1st downs
9
1
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
50%
22%
3rd Down Conversions
10
2
3rd Down Attempts
20
9
Red Zone %
25%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.70
-12.27
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-10
-24
Sack EPA
-2.56
-4.00
Penalties
3
11
Penalty Yards
21
85
Penalty EPA
-1.95
-6.56
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
13
Yards / Game
5
24
Passing Yards / Game
6
2
Rushing Yards / Game
10
22
EPA
EPA / Play
9
14
EPA / Pass
11
15
EPA / Rush
14
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
18
Interceptions / Game
29
14
Fumbles / Game
14
23
Turnover EPA / Game
7
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
20
4th Down Efficiency
7
15
RZ Efficiency
21
4
Browns Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
20
Yards / Game
20
12
Passing Yards / Game
7
30
Rushing Yards / Game
26
1
EPA
EPA / Play
15
10
EPA / Pass
12
11
EPA / Rush
20
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
20
Interceptions / Game
25
8
Fumbles / Game
10
5
Turnover EPA / Game
27
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
30
4th Down Efficiency
1
22
RZ Efficiency
14
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Browns
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U