PITSteelers
1-0
20
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
67°F
10 mph
41
KCChiefs
1-0
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
67°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
11
3
0
0
14
Chiefs
7
14
7
7
35
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
380
282
Total Plays
67
57
Yards / Play
5.7
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.25
+0.03
Passing Yards
320
124
Comp/Att
28/47(60%)
15/21(71%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.27
-0.17
Rushing Yards
60
158
Rush Attempts
16
35
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.21
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
19
Passing 1st downs
14
6
Rushing 1st downs
2
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
38%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
3
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-18.69
-11.48
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-16
-1
Sack EPA
-5.06
-0.66
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
82
32
Penalty EPA
-8.05
-3.16
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
22
Yards / Game
22
29
Passing Yards / Game
9
18
Rushing Yards / Game
30
30
EPA
EPA / Play
27
26
EPA / Pass
17
17
EPA / Rush
32
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
30
Interceptions / Game
15
4
Fumbles / Game
16
23
Turnover EPA / Game
12
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
18
4th Down Efficiency
16
10
RZ Efficiency
23
23
Chiefs Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
15
Yards / Game
3
9
Passing Yards / Game
19
17
Rushing Yards / Game
11
13
EPA
EPA / Play
1
9
EPA / Pass
3
20
EPA / Rush
2
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
4
Interceptions / Game
2
20
Fumbles / Game
7
18
Turnover EPA / Game
32
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
6
4th Down Efficiency
1
14
RZ Efficiency
1
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U