PITSteelers
2-3
38
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
041
ATLFalcons
3-2
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Steelers
10
14
7
7
0
38
Falcons
7
14
14
3
3
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
473
399
Total Plays
64
70
Yards / Play
7.4
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.22
+0.18
Passing Yards
418
226
Comp/Att
24/35(69%)
18/30(60%)
Yards / Pass
11.9
7.5
EPA / Pass
+0.89
+0.28
Rushing Yards
55
173
Rush Attempts
26
39
Yards / Rush
2.1
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.55
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
24
Passing 1st downs
21
12
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
64%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
7
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
67%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
4
3
Red Zone Attempts
6
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-11.04
+0.16
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-15
-6
Sack EPA
-3.78
-0.99
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
65
40
Penalty EPA
-7.33
-5.37
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
14
Yards / Game
6
20
Passing Yards / Game
4
32
Rushing Yards / Game
11
10
EPA
EPA / Play
12
14
EPA / Pass
10
25
EPA / Rush
19
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
6
Interceptions / Game
30
25
Fumbles / Game
17
17
Turnover EPA / Game
5
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
23
4th Down Efficiency
16
8
RZ Efficiency
17
13
Falcons Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
11
Yards / Game
12
7
Passing Yards / Game
26
7
Rushing Yards / Game
1
3
EPA
EPA / Play
22
9
EPA / Pass
27
16
EPA / Rush
3
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
4
Interceptions / Game
13
6
Fumbles / Game
1
19
Turnover EPA / Game
31
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
18
4th Down Efficiency
25
12
RZ Efficiency
26
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Falcons
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U