PITSteelers
5-6
6
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
46°F
020
JAXJaguars
10-1
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
46°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
3
0
3
0
6
Jaguars
0
6
7
7
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
235
466
Total Plays
56
73
Yards / Play
4.2
6.4
EPA / Play
-0.05
+0.13
Passing Yards
172
298
Comp/Att
19/38(50%)
25/37(68%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
8.1
EPA / Pass
-0.20
+0.20
Rushing Yards
63
168
Rush Attempts
15
34
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.16
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
24
Passing 1st downs
10
15
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
9%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
1
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
0%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-3.51
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-22
-10
Sack EPA
-4.03
-2.57
Penalties
9
9
Penalty Yards
76
98
Penalty EPA
-7.49
-8.36
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
1
Yards / Game
21
3
Passing Yards / Game
16
6
Rushing Yards / Game
9
6
EPA
EPA / Play
13
4
EPA / Pass
22
4
EPA / Rush
7
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
21
Interceptions / Game
16
12
Fumbles / Game
2
5
Turnover EPA / Game
19
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
6
4th Down Efficiency
27
3
RZ Efficiency
8
22
Jaguars Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
13
Yards / Game
4
9
Passing Yards / Game
13
12
Rushing Yards / Game
1
27
EPA
EPA / Play
5
17
EPA / Pass
4
11
EPA / Rush
3
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
19
Interceptions / Game
2
23
Fumbles / Game
4
10
Turnover EPA / Game
30
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
4
4th Down Efficiency
17
20
RZ Efficiency
18
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
9-1
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U