PITSteelers
6-4
25
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
53°F
8 mph
23
JAXJaguars
5-6
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
53°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
6
10
3
6
25
Jaguars
1
3
0
1
5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
403
226
Total Plays
69
48
Yards / Play
5.8
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.22
-0.73
Passing Yards
184
124
Comp/Att
17/27(63%)
12/24(50%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
5.2
EPA / Pass
-0.15
-1.19
Rushing Yards
219
102
Rush Attempts
40
21
Yards / Rush
5.5
4.9
EPA / Rush
+0.24
-0.71
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
13
Passing 1st downs
10
7
Rushing 1st downs
13
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
18%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
2
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-7.63
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-17
-22
Sack EPA
-3.33
-5.20
Penalties
4
--
Penalty Yards
25
--
Penalty EPA
-1.64
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
7
Yards / Game
5
20
Passing Yards / Game
6
20
Rushing Yards / Game
10
25
EPA
EPA / Play
9
23
EPA / Pass
11
21
EPA / Rush
14
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
9
Interceptions / Game
29
22
Fumbles / Game
14
12
Turnover EPA / Game
7
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
19
4th Down Efficiency
7
20
RZ Efficiency
21
12
Jaguars Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
20
Yards / Game
25
12
Passing Yards / Game
26
30
Rushing Yards / Game
9
1
EPA
EPA / Play
32
10
EPA / Pass
30
11
EPA / Rush
32
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
20
Interceptions / Game
1
8
Fumbles / Game
3
5
Turnover EPA / Game
31
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
30
4th Down Efficiency
5
22
RZ Efficiency
32
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
6-3-1
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U