PITSteelers
-
14
TBD
Gillette Stadium
86°F
030
NEPatriots
-
TBD
Gillette Stadium
86°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
7
0
0
7
14
Patriots
7
3
17
3
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
283
343
Total Plays
67
63
Yards / Play
4.2
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.18
+0.05
Passing Yards
209
280
Comp/Att
25/38(66%)
29/43(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.27
+0.17
Rushing Yards
74
63
Rush Attempts
24
18
Yards / Rush
3.1
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.48
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
20
Passing 1st downs
11
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
2
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
29%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
1
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-16.90
-5.24
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-38
-14
Sack EPA
-11.56
-2.22
Penalties
13
7
Penalty Yards
112
88
Penalty EPA
-12.97
-7.66
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
15
Yards / Game
5
23
Passing Yards / Game
6
7
Rushing Yards / Game
10
31
EPA
EPA / Play
9
19
EPA / Pass
11
8
EPA / Rush
14
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
23
Interceptions / Game
29
12
Fumbles / Game
14
12
Turnover EPA / Game
7
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
26
4th Down Efficiency
7
27
RZ Efficiency
21
31
Patriots Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
20
Yards / Game
22
12
Passing Yards / Game
21
30
Rushing Yards / Game
28
1
EPA
EPA / Play
10
10
EPA / Pass
18
11
EPA / Rush
16
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
20
Interceptions / Game
9
8
Fumbles / Game
5
5
Turnover EPA / Game
26
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
30
4th Down Efficiency
20
22
RZ Efficiency
16
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
9-1
SU
8-1-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U