HOUTexans
5-8
24
TBD
Soldier Field
12°F
21 mph
5
CHIBears
5-8
TBD
Soldier Field
12°F
21 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
0
7
0
11
18
Bears
0
0
0
3
3
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
314
203
Total Plays
64
63
Yards / Play
4.9
3.2
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.47
Passing Yards
208
149
Comp/Att
13/28(46%)
17/35(49%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
4.3
EPA / Pass
+0.27
-0.60
Rushing Yards
106
54
Rush Attempts
34
26
Yards / Rush
3.1
2.1
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.53
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
11
Passing 1st downs
8
6
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
38%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
17
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-17.87
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-12
-19
Sack EPA
-2.75
-9.10
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
89
50
Penalty EPA
-1.97
-1.52
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
12
Yards / Game
19
19
Passing Yards / Game
17
4
Rushing Yards / Game
13
24
EPA
EPA / Play
21
3
EPA / Pass
14
6
EPA / Rush
20
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
1
Interceptions / Game
11
15
Fumbles / Game
11
6
Turnover EPA / Game
19
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
1
4th Down Efficiency
5
3
RZ Efficiency
8
5
Bears Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
15
Yards / Game
32
22
Passing Yards / Game
27
25
Rushing Yards / Game
26
12
EPA
EPA / Play
32
15
EPA / Pass
32
18
EPA / Rush
29
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
6
Interceptions / Game
14
5
Fumbles / Game
30
25
Turnover EPA / Game
8
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
28
4th Down Efficiency
28
1
RZ Efficiency
32
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U