HOUTexans
3-5
27
TBD
Paycor Stadium
43°F
7 mph
34
CINBengals
3-5
TBD
Paycor Stadium
43°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
3
14
10
0
27
Bengals
7
10
7
10
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
269
422
Total Plays
46
83
Yards / Play
5.8
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.32
+0.24
Passing Yards
129
--
Comp/Att
11/25(44%)
18/26(69%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
--
EPA / Pass
-0.07
+0.40
Rushing Yards
140
240
Rush Attempts
19
57
Yards / Rush
7.4
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.46
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
27
Passing 1st downs
5
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
16
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
27%
61%
3rd Down Conversions
3
11
3rd Down Attempts
11
18
Red Zone %
67%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.83
-2.56
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-17
--
Sack EPA
-3.01
--
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
58
55
Penalty EPA
-4.46
-4.95
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
28
Yards / Game
31
28
Passing Yards / Game
24
31
Rushing Yards / Game
23
24
EPA
EPA / Play
26
31
EPA / Pass
23
27
EPA / Rush
16
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
15
Interceptions / Game
17
20
Fumbles / Game
9
18
Turnover EPA / Game
20
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
28
4th Down Efficiency
3
29
RZ Efficiency
3
22
Bengals Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
27
Yards / Game
13
31
Passing Yards / Game
8
8
Rushing Yards / Game
12
31
EPA
EPA / Play
7
25
EPA / Pass
7
31
EPA / Rush
11
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
17
Interceptions / Game
11
20
Fumbles / Game
3
27
Turnover EPA / Game
27
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
23
4th Down Efficiency
21
30
RZ Efficiency
5
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U