HOUTexans
-
7
TBD
New Era Field
76°F
022
BUFBills
-
TBD
New Era Field
76°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
0
7
0
0
7
Bills
6
13
0
3
22
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
120
316
Total Plays
49
65
Yards / Play
2.4
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.33
-0.03
Passing Yards
25
164
Comp/Att
9/21(43%)
17/28(61%)
Yards / Pass
1.2
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.92
+0.01
Rushing Yards
95
152
Rush Attempts
23
36
Yards / Rush
4.1
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
20
Passing 1st downs
4
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
30%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
100%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-16.46
--
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-45
-6
Sack EPA
-11.04
-1.75
Penalties
6
10
Penalty Yards
38
71
Penalty EPA
-3.83
-10.50
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
24
Yards / Game
30
29
Passing Yards / Game
29
27
Rushing Yards / Game
14
30
EPA
EPA / Play
20
30
EPA / Pass
29
26
EPA / Rush
10
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
12
Interceptions / Game
7
11
Fumbles / Game
12
9
Turnover EPA / Game
25
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
32
4th Down Efficiency
15
23
RZ Efficiency
25
32
Bills Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
32
Yards / Game
29
31
Passing Yards / Game
22
22
Rushing Yards / Game
21
32
EPA
EPA / Play
17
32
EPA / Pass
21
30
EPA / Rush
23
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
1
Interceptions / Game
17
31
Fumbles / Game
8
27
Turnover EPA / Game
22
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
17
4th Down Efficiency
24
30
RZ Efficiency
30
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U