HOUTexans
3-2
17
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
81°F
14 mph
37
JAXJaguars
3-1
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
81°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
3
3
3
8
17
Jaguars
0
10
6
15
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
392
457
Total Plays
70
61
Yards / Play
5.6
7.5
EPA / Play
-0.03
+0.31
Passing Yards
329
213
Comp/Att
30/43(70%)
22/34(65%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.08
+0.07
Rushing Yards
63
244
Rush Attempts
25
26
Yards / Rush
2.5
9.4
EPA / Rush
-0.10
+0.50
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
25
Passing 1st downs
18
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
20%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
10
Red Zone %
17%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
6
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
3
2
Turnover EPA
-15.85
-7.37
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-12
-8
Sack EPA
-12.49
-1.55
Penalties
8
3
Penalty Yards
58
--
Penalty EPA
-10.21
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
11
Yards / Game
14
13
Passing Yards / Game
14
26
Rushing Yards / Game
21
11
EPA
EPA / Play
7
18
EPA / Pass
16
19
EPA / Rush
9
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
18
Interceptions / Game
28
4
Fumbles / Game
31
12
Turnover EPA / Game
3
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
21
4th Down Efficiency
2
14
RZ Efficiency
6
24
Jaguars Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
22
Yards / Game
8
24
Passing Yards / Game
20
29
Rushing Yards / Game
2
19
EPA
EPA / Play
4
28
EPA / Pass
4
25
EPA / Rush
1
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
26
Interceptions / Game
2
31
Fumbles / Game
7
11
Turnover EPA / Game
30
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
23
4th Down Efficiency
8
12
RZ Efficiency
9
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U