HOUTexans
1-5
21
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
78°F
9 mph
19
JAXJaguars
3-3
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
78°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
0
9
3
11
23
Jaguars
0
1
3
1
5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
244
290
Total Plays
54
71
Yards / Play
4.5
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.52
Passing Yards
163
164
Comp/Att
11/19(58%)
16/34(47%)
Yards / Pass
8.6
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.50
-0.57
Rushing Yards
81
126
Rush Attempts
31
32
Yards / Rush
2.6
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.34
-0.48
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
18
Passing 1st downs
7
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
23%
35%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
17
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.54
--
Sacks
4
5
Sack Yards
-23
-38
Sack EPA
-4.09
-7.23
Penalties
14
--
Penalty Yards
110
--
Penalty EPA
-0.04
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
7
Yards / Game
32
20
Passing Yards / Game
30
20
Rushing Yards / Game
31
25
EPA
EPA / Play
31
23
EPA / Pass
32
21
EPA / Rush
31
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
9
Interceptions / Game
12
22
Fumbles / Game
15
12
Turnover EPA / Game
20
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
19
4th Down Efficiency
24
20
RZ Efficiency
27
12
Jaguars Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
18
Yards / Game
25
15
Passing Yards / Game
26
1
Rushing Yards / Game
9
28
EPA
EPA / Play
32
3
EPA / Pass
30
7
EPA / Rush
32
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
1
Interceptions / Game
1
26
Fumbles / Game
3
17
Turnover EPA / Game
31
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
7
4th Down Efficiency
5
15
RZ Efficiency
32
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
1-5
SU
2-3-1
ATS
0-0-6
O/U
Jaguars
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U