HOUTexans
2-6
13
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
56°F
10 mph
10
JAXJaguars
5-3
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
56°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
10
0
3
0
13
Jaguars
0
3
0
7
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
306
322
Total Plays
80
55
Yards / Play
3.8
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.25
Passing Yards
158
204
Comp/Att
17/35(49%)
15/34(44%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
6.0
EPA / Pass
-0.14
-0.55
Rushing Yards
148
118
Rush Attempts
42
19
Yards / Rush
3.5
6.2
EPA / Rush
+0.12
+0.39
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
16
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
9
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
42%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
19
10
Red Zone %
20%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
4
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-17.90
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-18
-10
Sack EPA
-5.40
-1.60
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
51
65
Penalty EPA
-5.18
-10.01
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
4
Yards / Game
28
2
Passing Yards / Game
23
11
Rushing Yards / Game
21
4
EPA
EPA / Play
23
3
EPA / Pass
22
3
EPA / Rush
12
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
20
Interceptions / Game
7
6
Fumbles / Game
17
29
Turnover EPA / Game
14
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
11
4th Down Efficiency
5
1
RZ Efficiency
8
6
Jaguars Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
25
Yards / Game
10
24
Passing Yards / Game
17
23
Rushing Yards / Game
3
19
EPA
EPA / Play
11
28
EPA / Pass
17
26
EPA / Rush
2
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
10
Interceptions / Game
11
28
Fumbles / Game
2
19
Turnover EPA / Game
25
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
30
4th Down Efficiency
14
11
RZ Efficiency
9
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U