HOUTexans
5-7
0
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
56°F
7 mph
27
JAXJaguars
3-9
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
56°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
0
0
0
0
0
Jaguars
7
10
0
10
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
124
390
Total Plays
49
70
Yards / Play
2.5
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.42
+0.09
Passing Yards
54
182
Comp/Att
11/23(48%)
18/29(62%)
Yards / Pass
2.3
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.73
-0.01
Rushing Yards
70
208
Rush Attempts
23
40
Yards / Rush
3.0
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.27
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
7
23
Passing 1st downs
4
8
Rushing 1st downs
2
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
8%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
1
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
NaN%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
--
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-5.19
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-17
-12
Sack EPA
-3.32
-2.39
Penalties
10
7
Penalty Yards
86
70
Penalty EPA
-7.65
-1.24
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
16
Yards / Game
31
6
Passing Yards / Game
24
2
Rushing Yards / Game
23
2
EPA
EPA / Play
26
18
EPA / Pass
23
30
EPA / Rush
16
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
24
Interceptions / Game
17
15
Fumbles / Game
9
8
Turnover EPA / Game
20
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
30
4th Down Efficiency
3
20
RZ Efficiency
3
20
Jaguars Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
27
Yards / Game
12
31
Passing Yards / Game
13
8
Rushing Yards / Game
8
31
EPA
EPA / Play
18
25
EPA / Pass
16
31
EPA / Rush
12
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
17
Interceptions / Game
17
20
Fumbles / Game
19
27
Turnover EPA / Game
9
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
23
4th Down Efficiency
16
30
RZ Efficiency
25
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U