TENTitans
-
17
TBD
Soldier Field
67°F
8 mph
24
CHIBears
-
TBD
Soldier Field
67°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
7
10
0
0
17
Bears
0
3
1
8
12
Spread
-4
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
244
150
Total Plays
61
54
Yards / Play
4.0
2.8
EPA / Play
-0.38
-0.28
Passing Yards
104
66
Comp/Att
19/32(59%)
14/30(47%)
Yards / Pass
3.3
2.2
EPA / Pass
-0.57
-0.40
Rushing Yards
140
84
Rush Attempts
26
22
Yards / Rush
5.4
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.08
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
11
Passing 1st downs
6
5
Rushing 1st downs
9
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
21%
15%
3rd Down Conversions
3
2
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-13.34
-5.48
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-23
-29
Sack EPA
-7.61
-4.08
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
50
55
Penalty EPA
-6.73
-6.31
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-4.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market64.7%
Model64.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+64
Home nfelo
1,476
Away nfelo
1,458
Home Field
+46.4
Base HFA
+46.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-1.7
Home QB Adjustment
-11.1
Away QB Adjustment
-9.3
Market Regression
-10.7
Final Difference
105.3
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
W. Levis
Proj. Value
-4.2
Team Elo Adj
-9.3
C. Williams
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-11.1
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Titans Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
14
Yards / Game
26
27
Passing Yards / Game
15
29
Rushing Yards / Game
18
27
EPA
EPA / Play
30
17
EPA / Pass
30
10
EPA / Rush
29
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
1
Interceptions / Game
31
18
Fumbles / Game
27
3
Turnover EPA / Game
2
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
12
4th Down Efficiency
30
5
RZ Efficiency
24
3
Bears Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
30
Yards / Game
32
3
Passing Yards / Game
20
5
Rushing Yards / Game
24
25
EPA
EPA / Play
27
21
EPA / Pass
26
18
EPA / Rush
20
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
6
Interceptions / Game
6
18
Fumbles / Game
13
19
Turnover EPA / Game
24
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
22
4th Down Efficiency
12
31
RZ Efficiency
9
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Titans
3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Bears
5-5
SU
6-2-2
ATS
3-7
O/U