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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. titans @ broncos week 11, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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TEN logo
TENTitans
6-3
20
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
63°F
12 mph
34
DENBroncos
4-5
DEN logo
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
63°F
12 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
0
10
7
3
20
Broncos
8
6
7
7
28

Game Statistics

General
Titans logo
Broncos logo
Total Yards
423
359
Total Plays
71
48
Yards / Play
6.0
7.5
EPA / Play
+0.07
+0.38
Passing Yards
290
193
Comp/Att
26/41(63%)
16/21(76%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
9.2
EPA / Pass
+0.20
+0.61
Rushing Yards
133
166
Rush Attempts
29
26
Yards / Rush
4.6
6.4
EPA / Rush
-0.08
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
Titans logo
Broncos logo
1st Downs
28
15
Passing 1st downs
18
9
Rushing 1st downs
9
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Titans logo
Broncos logo
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-5.69
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-15
-7
Sack EPA
-1.80
-1.88
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
80
35
Penalty EPA
-6.70
-3.74

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
TEN logo
TENTitansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Titans Offense vs Broncos Defense
Titans logo
Broncos logo

Total

Points / Game
22
28
Yards / Game
21
19
Passing Yards / Game
25
4
Rushing Yards / Game
4
30

EPA

EPA / Play
21
31
EPA / Pass
18
31
EPA / Rush
24
27

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
24
17
Interceptions / Game
18
24
Fumbles / Game
30
3
Turnover EPA / Game
20
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
13
26
4th Down Efficiency
32
31
RZ Efficiency
32
23
Broncos Offense vs Titans Defense
Broncos logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
21
6
Yards / Game
10
4
Passing Yards / Game
3
17
Rushing Yards / Game
8
4

EPA

EPA / Play
15
7
EPA / Pass
11
5
EPA / Rush
10
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
19
Interceptions / Game
9
2
Fumbles / Game
24
27
Turnover EPA / Game
14
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
28
4th Down Efficiency
30
17
RZ Efficiency
21
28

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TEN logo

Titans

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/31
-17
L
L
P
09/09
3
W
W
P
09/16
-2
L
W
P
09/24
17
W
W
P
10/07
7
W
L
P
10/14
-3
L
L
P
10/21
2
W
W
P
10/28
4
W
L
P
11/04
13
W
W
P
11/11
-15
L
L
P
DEN logo

Broncos

4-6
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/31
-3
L
L
P
09/09
1
W
L
P
09/16
3
W
L
P
09/23
-9
L
L
P
09/30
-18
L
L
P
10/07
-38
L
L
P
10/21
3
W
W
P
10/29
-6
L
L
P
11/04
-37
L
L
P
11/11
16
W
W
P