TENTitans
-
42
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
84°F
8 mph
14
TBBuccaneers
-
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
84°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
15
14
7
0
36
Buccaneers
0
7
0
7
14
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
309
273
Total Plays
49
63
Yards / Play
6.3
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.28
-0.30
Passing Yards
185
181
Comp/Att
13/15(87%)
16/33(48%)
Yards / Pass
12.3
5.5
EPA / Pass
+1.28
-0.31
Rushing Yards
124
92
Rush Attempts
32
26
Yards / Rush
3.9
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
16
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
44%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
9
14
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.57
-12.50
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-24
-29
Sack EPA
-4.85
-4.98
Penalties
8
12
Penalty Yards
55
97
Penalty EPA
-8.09
-9.65
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+91
Home nfelo
1,386
Away nfelo
1,347
Home Field
+51.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+1.0
Home QB Adjustment
+4.3
Away QB Adjustment
+3.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
M. Mariota
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+3.3
No recent game data available
J. Winston
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
+4.3
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Titans Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
26
Yards / Game
30
11
Passing Yards / Game
22
25
Rushing Yards / Game
25
9
EPA
EPA / Play
31
25
EPA / Pass
30
27
EPA / Rush
25
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
28
Interceptions / Game
24
20
Fumbles / Game
32
5
Turnover EPA / Game
5
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
30
4th Down Efficiency
22
27
RZ Efficiency
5
30
Buccaneers Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
27
Yards / Game
4
12
Passing Yards / Game
24
15
Rushing Yards / Game
4
18
EPA
EPA / Play
20
23
EPA / Pass
13
28
EPA / Rush
13
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
1
Interceptions / Game
20
20
Fumbles / Game
21
29
Turnover EPA / Game
9
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
25
4th Down Efficiency
11
5
RZ Efficiency
23
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Titans
0-10
SU
2-8
ATS
4-6
O/U
Buccaneers
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
1-9
O/U