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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. titans @ colts week 17, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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TEN logo
TENTitans
9-6
16
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0
10
INDColts
13-2
IND logo
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
7
0
3
6
16
Colts
0
3
7
0
10

Game Statistics

General
Titans logo
Colts logo
Total Yards
356
194
Total Plays
71
52
Yards / Play
5.0
3.7
EPA / Play
+0.02
-0.16
Passing Yards
258
148
Comp/Att
24/31(77%)
25/40(63%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
3.7
EPA / Pass
+0.58
-0.27
Rushing Yards
98
46
Rush Attempts
39
10
Yards / Rush
2.5
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.52
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
Titans logo
Colts logo
1st Downs
25
13
Passing 1st downs
18
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
53%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Titans logo
Colts logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-10.79
-4.81
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-5
-15
Sack EPA
-1.21
-2.87
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
40
54
Penalty EPA
-5.05
-3.23

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
TEN logo
TENTitansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Titans Offense vs Colts Defense
Titans logo
Colts logo

Total

Points / Game
22
2
Yards / Game
21
3
Passing Yards / Game
25
3
Rushing Yards / Game
4
14

EPA

EPA / Play
21
10
EPA / Pass
18
7
EPA / Rush
24
18

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
24
28
Interceptions / Game
18
2
Fumbles / Game
30
13
Turnover EPA / Game
20
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
13
31
4th Down Efficiency
32
23
RZ Efficiency
32
22
Colts Offense vs Titans Defense
Colts logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
2
6
Yards / Game
3
4
Passing Yards / Game
23
17
Rushing Yards / Game
20
4

EPA

EPA / Play
2
7
EPA / Pass
3
5
EPA / Rush
4
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
19
Interceptions / Game
11
2
Fumbles / Game
4
27
Turnover EPA / Game
31
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
2
28
4th Down Efficiency
10
17
RZ Efficiency
10
28

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TEN logo

Titans

6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/21
2
W
W
P
10/28
4
W
L
P
11/04
13
W
W
P
11/11
-15
L
L
P
11/19
-14
L
L
P
11/25
-29
L
L
P
12/02
8
W
W
P
12/09
-6
L
L
P
12/16
9
W
W
P
12/23
4
W
L
P
IND logo

Colts

8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/22
22
W
W
P
10/28
24
W
W
P
11/04
-4
L
W
P
11/11
-2
L
L
P
11/18
3
W
L
P
11/22
18
W
W
P
12/02
3
W
L
P
12/09
24
W
W
P
12/16
7
W
L
P
12/23
23
W
W
P