TENTitans
0-3
31
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
86°F
9 mph
12
MIADolphins
1-2
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
86°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
0
9
10
10
29
Dolphins
0
3
3
6
12
Spread
+1
Total
OVER
36.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
244
184
Total Plays
62
55
Yards / Play
3.9
3.3
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.37
Passing Yards
102
78
Comp/Att
12/21(57%)
14/23(61%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
3.4
EPA / Pass
-0.33
-0.51
Rushing Yards
142
106
Rush Attempts
40
30
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.00
-0.42
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
13
Passing 1st downs
5
4
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
17%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
2
2
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.53
-5.22
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-8
-18
Sack EPA
-1.94
-3.72
Penalties
8
10
Penalty Yards
69
98
Penalty EPA
-6.24
-14.74
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-1.0
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model62.0%
Spread Pick
Dolphins-1.0
Expected Value
+20.8%
Cover Probability
62.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+141
Home nfelo
1,556
Away nfelo
1,417
Home Field
+38.3
Base HFA
+46.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-8.3
Net QB Adjustment
-36.1
Home QB Adjustment
-49.6
Away QB Adjustment
-13.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
84.9
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
W. Levis
Proj. Value
-4.2
Team Elo Adj
-13.5
T. Huntley
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-49.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Titans Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
9
Yards / Game
26
6
Passing Yards / Game
15
7
Rushing Yards / Game
18
8
EPA
EPA / Play
30
11
EPA / Pass
30
12
EPA / Rush
29
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
16
Interceptions / Game
31
22
Fumbles / Game
27
19
Turnover EPA / Game
2
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
5
4th Down Efficiency
30
6
RZ Efficiency
24
5
Dolphins Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
30
Yards / Game
18
3
Passing Yards / Game
17
5
Rushing Yards / Game
21
25
EPA
EPA / Play
21
21
EPA / Pass
13
18
EPA / Rush
31
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
6
Interceptions / Game
10
18
Fumbles / Game
22
19
Turnover EPA / Game
12
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
22
4th Down Efficiency
25
31
RZ Efficiency
16
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Titans
3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Dolphins
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U