nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. titans @ dolphins week 10, 2010

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

TEN logo
TENTitans
5-3
17
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
79°F
9 mph
29
MIADolphins
4-4
MIA logo
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
79°F
9 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
10
0
7
0
17
Dolphins
7
3
10
9
29

Spread

MIA logo
-1

Total

OVER
43

Game Statistics

General
Titans logo
Dolphins logo
Total Yards
259
404
Total Plays
65
69
Yards / Play
4.0
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.15
+0.02
Passing Yards
124
316
Comp/Att
18/38(47%)
24/37(65%)
Yards / Pass
3.3
8.5
EPA / Pass
-0.32
+0.29
Rushing Yards
135
88
Rush Attempts
25
31
Yards / Rush
5.4
2.8
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
Titans logo
Dolphins logo
1st Downs
15
21
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
31%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
5
9
3rd Down Attempts
16
17
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Titans logo
Dolphins logo
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-7.37
-1.46
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-19
-7
Sack EPA
-6.59
-1.49
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
55
63
Penalty EPA
-6.43
-3.62

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
MIA logo
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-1.0
Model
-2.5

Win Probability

Market52.2%
Model56.3%
Spread Pick
MIA logo
Dolphins-1.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+5.0%
Cover Probability
54.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+90
Home nfelo
1,566
Away nfelo
1,548
Home Field
+25.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.6
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+46.3
Home QB Adjustment
+5.7
Away QB Adjustment
-40.6
Market Regression
-3.5
Final Difference
43.9
Model Spread
-2.5

Quarterbacks

K. Collins headshot

K. Collins

Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
-40.6
Value
Ptile
12/21
4.9
83
12/28
-5.0
15
01/10
1.5
62
09/10
1.9
62
09/20
0.1
50
09/27
-7.8
8
10/04
2.3
65
10/11
-3.2
29
10/18
-10.2
2
10/24
-0.3
47
J. Pennington headshot

J. Pennington

Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+5.7
Value
Ptile
11/23
5.9
87
11/30
-0.4
49
12/07
2.8
70
12/14
1.0
59
12/21
5.0
84
12/28
4.1
77
01/04
-5.0
15
09/13
-3.3
29
09/21
-2.1
38
09/27
-3.3
29

Team Matchup Ranks

Titans Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Titans logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
16
13
Yards / Game
28
6
Passing Yards / Game
29
7
Rushing Yards / Game
17
7

EPA

EPA / Play
14
15
EPA / Pass
16
24
EPA / Rush
28
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
11
Interceptions / Game
13
28
Fumbles / Game
28
17
Turnover EPA / Game
17
1

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
10
4th Down Efficiency
10
5
RZ Efficiency
10
2
Dolphins Offense vs Titans Defense
Dolphins logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
30
15
Yards / Game
21
26
Passing Yards / Game
14
32
Rushing Yards / Game
22
20

EPA

EPA / Play
25
21
EPA / Pass
20
22
EPA / Rush
26
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
26
Interceptions / Game
24
11
Fumbles / Game
6
31
Turnover EPA / Game
15
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
29
4th Down Efficiency
31
7
RZ Efficiency
14
3

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TEN logo

Titans

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/25
-25
L
L
O
01/03
4
W
L
U
09/12
25
W
W
O
09/19
-8
L
L
U
09/26
19
W
W
U
10/03
-6
L
L
O
10/10
7
W
W
O
10/18
27
W
W
U
10/24
18
W
W
O
10/31
-8
L
L
O
MIA logo

Dolphins

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/27
-7
L
L
P
01/03
-6
L
L
O
09/12
5
W
W
U
09/19
4
W
W
U
09/26
-8
L
L
O
10/04
-27
L
L
O
10/17
3
W
W
U
10/24
-1
L
W
O
10/31
8
W
W
U
11/07
-16
L
L
U